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NickSzabo4's profile
Nick Szabo 🔑
Nick Szabo 🔑
Nick Szabo  🔑
@NickSzabo4

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Nick Szabo  🔑

@NickSzabo4

Blockchain, cryptocurrency, and smart contracts pioneer. (RT/Fav/Follow does not imply endorsement). Blog: http://unenumerated.blogspot.com 

Joined June 2014

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    1. Nick Szabo  🔑‏ @NickSzabo4 Jul 23
      • Report Tweet

      Nick Szabo  🔑 Retweeted Rudy Havenstein, der Geld Marschall

      Thinking of shorting an overvalued stock market? Central banks can print money far longer than you can remain solvent.https://twitter.com/RudyHavenstein/status/941755222472368128 …

      Nick Szabo  🔑 added,

      Rudy Havenstein, der Geld Marschall @RudyHavenstein
      I suppose having seen over $20 trillion in debt monetized by Central Banks in the past decade, we're a bit jaded, but what the SNB (and others) is doing is MONETIZING equities. http://www.nasdaq.com/quotes/institutional-portfolio/swiss-national-bank-913041 … pic.twitter.com/4PjKz7cjo7
      Show this thread
      33 replies 173 retweets 655 likes
    2. Bitrock Capital‏ @Bitrockcapital Jul 23
      • Report Tweet
      Replying to @NickSzabo4

      not defending the Fed, but temporary money printing <> permanent money printing. 2050 supply of dollars remains unchanged...they simply front loaded the printing...hence no inflation. Could argue that more permanent money printing REDUCES P/E ratios and REDUCES bubbles

      3 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
    3. Nick Szabo  🔑‏ @NickSzabo4 Jul 23
      • Report Tweet
      Replying to @Bitrockcapital

      You have a magical crystal ball about what the money supply will be in 2050. Other people have astrology or channel aliens. YMMV.

      2 replies 0 retweets 17 likes
    4. Bitrock Capital‏ @Bitrockcapital Jul 23
      • Report Tweet
      Replying to @NickSzabo4

      Of course it could change, but right now treasury market has been right and sniffed out the Fed's timid response. Very unlikely. Short competing currencies, I'd argue for a NGDP futures market + removal of FOMC - makes 2050 NGDP entirely predictable (and likely money supply too)

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
    5. Bitrock Capital‏ @Bitrockcapital Jul 23
      • Report Tweet
      Replying to @Bitrockcapital @NickSzabo4

      That said I will take a stance: Those who are hoping cryptocurrencies take off because the US hyper inflates will very likely be disappointed. In my opinion, compared to the dollar, Bitcoin's censorship resistance is much more important than it's monetary policy

      1 reply 1 retweet 3 likes
    6. This Tweet is unavailable
    7. Bitrock Capital‏ @Bitrockcapital Jul 24
      • Report Tweet
      Replying to @mister2incherd1 @NickSzabo4

      Money supply likely to increase 4-6% a year over next 10 -50 years. Based on present value, it won’t matter (much) if I spread it out vs print it all in year 1. More extreme = if I print $10T tomorrow but promise to tax it out of existence in 1 years time...then no inflation.

      2 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
      Nick Szabo  🔑‏ @NickSzabo4 Jul 24
      • Report Tweet
      Replying to @Bitrockcapital @mister2incherd1

      This preposterous pseudoscience confuses human behavior with physics. You can't actually predict any such things.

      9:31 AM - 24 Jul 2019
      • 2 Likes
      • Riding Unicorns to the Moon shmadz
      1 reply 0 retweets 2 likes
        1. New conversation
        2. Bitrock Capital‏ @Bitrockcapital Jul 24
          • Report Tweet
          Replying to @NickSzabo4 @mister2incherd1

          Not confusing monetary policy w/ physics and agree its definitely not down to 18 decimal places...but throwing hands up in air and saying its entirely unpredictable isn’t a solution either. Even w/ competing currencies, this type of thought process would be helpful @GeorgeSelgin

          1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
        3. Nick Szabo  🔑‏ @NickSzabo4 Jul 24
          • Report Tweet
          Replying to @Bitrockcapital @mister2incherd1 @GeorgeSelgin

          It's not a solution but it is the reality.

          0 replies 0 retweets 1 like
        4. End of conversation

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