"In climate research and modelling, we should recognize that we are dealing with a coupled non-linear chaotic system, and therefore that long-term prediction of future climate states is not possible" -- IPCC Third Assessment Report (2001) Our statement http://fooledbyrandomness.com/climateletter.pdf …
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We should be sorting out what is systemic risk from what is not Climate is a global-scale system I too share pessimism around any govt “solutions”
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Despite disagreements, actions seems obvious and non-controversial... 1) Invest/innovate to get clean energy cheaper than fossil fuels w/o subsidies 2) Figure out how to take CO2 out of atmosphere, just in case What am I missing?
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(1) is hard without indirectly increasing fossil fuel use (e.g. materials to make windmills) or substantially degrading functionality (from tractors to airplanes to weed-whackers to concrete to much else), (2) would be great if we actually know how to do with reasonable economy.
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Great opportunity for pulling CO2 is building soil. Sequesters a looot and is also something with many positive effects and externalities in its own right. Problem is we subsidize soil destroying agriculture, not soil building.
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Mother nature has built these amazing machines that sequester carbon: Trees. And once they start running, zero maintenance cost.
@su_js1 -
You can have a lot of soil underneath trees and other plants.
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Planting trees and building soil are also good solutions bc less politically controversial. We all want a world with more trees and richer soil. Stopping dumb subsidies would have to come from the right. The left would be accused of attacking "our farmers".
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the right & left are arguing who should steer the civilization bus that's already been driven off the cliff...
End of conversation
New conversation -
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My own take on climate is a bit longer than 280 buthttps://twitter.com/briantheligman/status/1049694429462827013?s=21 …
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