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NickSzabo4's profile
Nick Szabo 🔑
Nick Szabo 🔑
Nick Szabo  🔑
@NickSzabo4

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Nick Szabo  🔑

@NickSzabo4

Blockchain, cryptocurrency, and smart contracts pioneer. (RT/Fav/Follow does not imply endorsement). Blog: http://unenumerated.blogspot.com 

Joined June 2014

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    1. Nick Szabo  🔑‏ @NickSzabo4 Mar 6
      • Report Tweet

      Economic history has been dominated by basics: growing food & fuel, mating & child rearing, fighting wars, clothing & shelter, worrying about afterlife. Occasionally there have been major agricultural surpluses, which have been spent in a bizarre variety of ways (thread) /1

      13 replies 125 retweets 449 likes
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    2. Nick Szabo  🔑‏ @NickSzabo4 Mar 6
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      Agricultural surpluses have been spent on military parades, crown jewels, tall cathedrals, vast priesthoods, gigantic tombs, arrays of monoliths, treasure fleets, moon shots, & a dizzying variety of other things. /2

      5 replies 12 retweets 100 likes
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    3. Nick Szabo  🔑‏ @NickSzabo4 Mar 6
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      These seem like irrational bubbles, yet in many cases persisted for or recurred across centuries or millennia. We moderns seem to be trending towards competitions for scholastic credentials & efforts at longer & healthier lives, each of which appeal to insatiable needs. /3

      4 replies 11 retweets 101 likes
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    4. Nick Szabo  🔑‏ @NickSzabo4 Mar 6
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      Almost any way developed countries spend our titanic industrial surpluses will be epic frivolity by historical standards, whether it be sprawling regulatory & scholastic priesthoods or a “service economy” where mobile servants wait on the tables of secular priests & investors. /4

      4 replies 17 retweets 126 likes
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    5. Nick Szabo  🔑‏ @NickSzabo4 Mar 6
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      There are no solid standards of historical precedent or economic rationality that can help us much in predicting which forms of frivolity will dominate, rather they point to the optionality & unpredictability among a vast universe of choices. /5

      13 replies 10 retweets 121 likes
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    6. Ruminative Orangutan‏ @Ruminorang Mar 6
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      Replying to @NickSzabo4

      So you’re saying we don’t need to fear the rise of automation because there will always be a booming frivolity industry

      1 reply 1 retweet 5 likes
      Nick Szabo  🔑‏ @NickSzabo4 Mar 6
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      Replying to @Ruminorang

      Indeed. Frivolity as a whole is insatiable, but its forms generally unpredictable. Makes it next to impossible to plan for a career, outside traditional professions like law and medicine and some of engineering.

      5:36 PM - 6 Mar 2019
      • 1 Retweet
      • 13 Likes
      • Donald McIntyre ☣️🗑️ Tim Francisco crotchet⚡️ Alex Chiriac Devon R James Distant Signal Misir Mahmudov Colby Serpa💡
      1 reply 1 retweet 13 likes
        1. New conversation
        2. Devon R James‏ @BlocktechCEO Mar 6
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          Replying to @NickSzabo4 @Ruminorang

          I wonder how often those frivolous bubbles turn into huge industries...

          1 reply 0 retweets 5 likes
        3. Nick Szabo  🔑‏ @NickSzabo4 Mar 7
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          Replying to @BlocktechCEO @Ruminorang

          Eery new kind of business will at first be called a bubble. OTOH there will be many more bubbles that do disastrously pop, and we won't be able to tell the difference, although some "pros" will still go on pretending they can.

          1 reply 0 retweets 4 likes
        4. Devon R James‏ @BlocktechCEO Mar 7
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          Replying to @NickSzabo4 @Ruminorang

          Then what’s a bubble? there are industries which are only useful during a limited period in history during which they’re enormously beneficial but then quickly become essentially irrelevant - let’s say e-scooters for example, to be replaced w jet packs. Bubble or evolution?

          1 reply 0 retweets 2 likes
        5. Devon R James‏ @BlocktechCEO Mar 7
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          Replying to @BlocktechCEO @NickSzabo4 @Ruminorang

          The term bubble implies over-inflation of expectation vs reality, but more often than not it’s just the standard hype cycle applied to an actually significant new thing. Just cuz it loses impact over time and eventually fizzles out, does that retroactively make it a bubble?

          0 replies 0 retweets 1 like
        6. End of conversation

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