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NickSzabo4's profile
Nick Szabo 🔑
Nick Szabo 🔑
Nick Szabo  🔑
@NickSzabo4

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Nick Szabo  🔑

@NickSzabo4

Blockchain, cryptocurrency, and smart contracts pioneer. (RT/Fav/Follow does not imply endorsement). Blog: http://unenumerated.blogspot.com 

Joined June 2014

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    1. Stephen Pimentel‏ @StephenPiment Feb 8
      • Report Tweet

      Drexler–Smalley debate on molecular nanotechnology https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Drexler%E2%80%93Smalley_debate_on_molecular_nanotechnology …

      1 reply 1 retweet 8 likes
    2. Nick Szabo  🔑‏ @NickSzabo4 Feb 8
      • Report Tweet
      Replying to @StephenPiment

      Looks like Smalley has been proven right but the subsequent failures to develop this technology.

      2 replies 2 retweets 5 likes
    3. Stephen Pimentel‏ @StephenPiment Feb 8
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      Replying to @NickSzabo4

      It's true that of the potentially transformative technologies of the late 20th century, nanotech has been one of the slowest to materialize. But then, one could say the same of nuclear fusion, for which I still hold out high hopes.

      2 replies 0 retweets 3 likes
    4. Matthew Pirkowski‏ @MattPirkowski Feb 8
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      Replying to @StephenPiment @NickSzabo4

      I tend to side with Kurzweil regarding his analysis of this debate, though Smalley's argument were useful insofar as they forced more precise articulations of Drexler's vision. Additionally, my guess is that the "industrial" mode of thinking remains incongruent with this scale.

      1 reply 1 retweet 1 like
    5. Matthew Pirkowski‏ @MattPirkowski Feb 8
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      Replying to @MattPirkowski @StephenPiment @NickSzabo4

      Meaning that we require a deeper understanding of complex atomic and molecular dynamics in order to generate systems capable of precise electro-magnetic or bio-chemical nudging in service of complex self-assembly. Here, tools like DeepMind are useful. Are we close? Hard to say.

      3 replies 1 retweet 0 likes
    6. Matthew Pirkowski‏ @MattPirkowski Feb 8
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      Replying to @MattPirkowski @StephenPiment @NickSzabo4

      And it's in this sense that Smalley's use of metaphors like "falling in love" at the molecular scale are relevant, as such complex processes of self-assembly are precisely that: complex processes which are more similar to people falling in love than to building a car.

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
      Nick Szabo  🔑‏ @NickSzabo4 Feb 8
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      Replying to @MattPirkowski @StephenPiment

      Metaphors about love and fat fingers are fun but the real problem AFAIK is Heisenberg's uncertainty principle. Atoms and molecules are not hard sand or diamond particles writ small, they are wave functions describing the probability events will happen.

      11:34 AM - 8 Feb 2019
      • 1 Retweet
      • 3 Likes
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      3 replies 1 retweet 3 likes
        1. New conversation
        2. Nick Szabo  🔑‏ @NickSzabo4 Feb 8
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          Replying to @NickSzabo4 @MattPirkowski @StephenPiment

          After all this time Drexler & his myriad fans have still failed to convince the vast majority of chemists & physicists & more importantly failed to convince reality in the form of actually working machines, that he has figured out a way to cheat Heisenberg on such small scales.

          1 reply 1 retweet 3 likes
        3. Perry E. Metzger‏ @perrymetzger Feb 8
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          Replying to @NickSzabo4 @MattPirkowski @StephenPiment

          What do you think the uncertainty of position of a carbon or even hydrogen atom is? Have you bothered calculating it? Hint: it isn't big. Just do the math if you don't believe me. And furthermore, you can IMAGE them.

          2 replies 0 retweets 1 like
        4. michael_nielsen‏ @michael_nielsen Feb 8
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          Replying to @perrymetzger @NickSzabo4 and

          Curious how you do such a calculation? Standard quantum limits (e.g. in interferometry) usually involve specifying a free variable, typically some type of frequency. Are you calculating a standard quantum limit in your calculation?

          2 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
        5. michael_nielsen‏ @michael_nielsen Feb 8
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          Replying to @michael_nielsen @perrymetzger and

          As far as I'm aware, it's standard physics that both position and momentum (but ofc not both at once) variance can be reduced arbitrarily. Indeed, LIGO has begun using squeezed states (of light, not matter, but the idea is the same) to improve their strain sensitivity.

          2 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
        6. Nick Szabo  🔑‏ @NickSzabo4 Feb 8
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          Replying to @michael_nielsen @perrymetzger and

          Mechanical devices have to be simultaneously precise as to both position and momentum.

          2 replies 1 retweet 2 likes
        7. Nick Szabo  🔑‏ @NickSzabo4 Feb 8
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          Replying to @NickSzabo4 @michael_nielsen and

          That puts severe limits on how small they can be made and retain sufficient precision.

          1 reply 1 retweet 2 likes
        8. Perry E. Metzger‏ @perrymetzger Feb 8
          • Report Tweet
          Replying to @NickSzabo4 @michael_nielsen and

          So? We're not talking about electrons here, we're talking about things with many orders of magnitude more mass. There are actual calculations in Chapter 5 of Nanosystems. Which of them do you think is incorrect?

          1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
        9. Perry E. Metzger‏ @perrymetzger Feb 8
          • Report Tweet
          Replying to @perrymetzger @NickSzabo4 and

          It is not enough to say "quantum mechanics!", there are actual well understood equations that govern quantum systems, and you can do calculations using them, and the calculations say you're wrong. If you disagree, say which eq is wrong in Ch. 5 of Nanosystems.

          1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
        10. 2 more replies
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        2. Matthew Pirkowski‏ @MattPirkowski Feb 8
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          Replying to @NickSzabo4 @StephenPiment

          Those are the concepts we presently use to describe them for certain purposes, yes. To more clearly conceptualize what I'm trying to get at, consider the difference between Drexler's "molecular machines" and the molecular dynamics selected by evolution...

          2 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
        3. Matthew Pirkowski‏ @MattPirkowski Feb 8
          • Report Tweet
          Replying to @MattPirkowski @NickSzabo4 @StephenPiment

          If complex molecular assembly were not possible, we would not exist. But this is why I say the industrial understanding of crystalline / rationalized systems is the wrong way to think about molecular assembly. Rather, we require a kind of system's intelligence capable of...

          3 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
        4. Matthew Pirkowski‏ @MattPirkowski Feb 8
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          Replying to @MattPirkowski @NickSzabo4 @StephenPiment

          Exploring possibility space in a manner that balances "blind" evolution with the intentionality and time scales of industrial production. I do believe it's possible to make significant progress as constrained by the tension between these two approaches.

          1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
        5. Matthew Pirkowski‏ @MattPirkowski Feb 8
          • Report Tweet
          Replying to @MattPirkowski @NickSzabo4 @StephenPiment

          Which is why I'm hopeful for the future of projects such as AlphaFold, given that this is precisely the kind of constraint problem it's designed to approach.

          1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
        6. Stephen Pimentel‏ @StephenPiment Feb 8
          • Report Tweet
          Replying to @MattPirkowski @NickSzabo4

          Perhaps a good summary is that nanotechnology as originally proposed is not feasible, but synthetic biology aimed at similar ends may well be.

          2 replies 0 retweets 1 like
        7. Nick Szabo  🔑‏ @NickSzabo4 Feb 8
          • Report Tweet
          Replying to @StephenPiment @MattPirkowski

          Biology achieves very different ends by very different means.

          1 reply 0 retweets 4 likes
        8. Matthew Pirkowski‏ @MattPirkowski Feb 8
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          Replying to @NickSzabo4 @StephenPiment

          It certainly does, though harnessing it may involve systems that are themselves operating within a different paradigm. For example, at some level there must exist bridging structures if we hope to access large portions of molecular design-space.

          0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
        9. End of conversation
        1. New conversation
        2. Perry E. Metzger‏ @perrymetzger Feb 8
          • Report Tweet
          Replying to @NickSzabo4 @MattPirkowski @StephenPiment

          You can easily do the calculation and find that the uncertainty principle is totally unimportant in this domain. You can even read the calculation in Nanosystems. If you're going to make a factual claim like this, then you should at least know the literature.

          1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
        3. Perry E. Metzger‏ @perrymetzger Feb 8
          • Report Tweet
          Replying to @perrymetzger @NickSzabo4 and

          Furthermore, even without the calculation: If the molecular machines were impossible because of thermal noise or quantum uncertainty, then you couldn't exist either, because that would prevent things like ATP synthase from working.

          0 replies 0 retweets 1 like
        4. End of conversation

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