Oumuamua was an alien probe sent to spy on us disguised as an asteroid/comet to confuse us knowing we'd be skeptical to say it was an alien craft due to us not having any knowledge of alien life.
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My Bayesian prior for the existence of aliens is not large because I think the odds are high they would be very widespread and thus very visible (including via spectroscopy in at least some of the billions of galaxies we can see)
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