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Prikvačeni tweet
For years, I've been trying to make sense of how a person can navigate a durable, thriving career given seismic shifts in how the economy works. I put what I learned in these 304 pages of analysis and case studies, available now:https://www.amazon.com/How-Win-Winner-Take-All-World-High-Performance/dp/1250176271/ref=as_li_ss_tl?_encoding=UTF8&qid=&sr=&linkCode=sl1&tag=neilirwincom-20&linkId=34e15374567b2e5cb69e8ab5425eaa1a&language=en_US …
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And by tomorrow morning, I of course mean Friday morning, in the sense that time is a flat circle.
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Strong numbers on both manufacturing and services ISM this week, with jobs numbers due up tomorrow morning. The U.S. economy is cruising, for now.https://twitter.com/edwardnh/status/1225071784858456068 …
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Neil Irwin proslijedio/la je Tweet
Japan offers an important lesson from its two decades of near-zero rates: The yield curve offers no recession warning when the central bank is running low on ammunition.https://www.wsj.com/articles/the-markets-favorite-recession-signal-probably-has-it-wrong-11580824310 …
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Update: Never mind.https://unnamedtemporarysportsblog.com/goodbye-from-unnamed-temporary-sports-blog/ …
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Really excited to read some analysis of the Super Bowl on Unnamed Temporary Sports Blog Dot Com.https://unnamedtemporarysportsblog.com/
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Lotta folks in Vegas hoping for the 49ers to score one trash time TD so the over hits.
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Watched the (fantastic) Roy Cohn documentary on a flight just now and this screenshot contains a whole lot.pic.twitter.com/P9WkFQaD5N
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Neil Irwin proslijedio/la je Tweet
I loved
@ezraklein‘s Why We’re Polarized. Here is why:https://www.goodreads.com/review/show/3081527482 …Hvala. Twitter će to iskoristiti za poboljšanje vaše vremenske crte. PoništiPoništi -
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Neil Irwin proslijedio/la je Tweet
If anyone was wondering what a decoupling of the U.S. and Chinese economies looks like, we're kind of getting a natural experiment.
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I get an email alert when the S&P 500 falls by more than 2%. Just got my first one since October 2!
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So here’s the full story. I hope it provokes a worthwhile discussion about who steers capital and governs Corporate America, and what those choices mean for the economy as a whole.https://www.nytimes.com/2020/01/31/upshot/payless-private-equity-capitalism.html …
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And the supposed masters of the financial universe frequently don’t have some magical insight into how to steer corporations better than the seasoned people, often with less-than-glamorous jobs in less-than-glamorous towns—who actually run the companies.
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Studying this one troubled company, here are my lessons: Often, financialized control means putting in place capital structures that are not appropriate for the long-term success of a company.
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In the 2019 bankruptcy, it liquidated its US stores, putting 16,000 people out of work. The former corporate headquarters in Topeka is now a husk of its former self (the company just recently emerged from bankruptcy and a third ownership group is now attempting to relaunch).
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Coming out of Chapter 11, the company had purged many debts and bad leases. But some combination of legacy problems and operational mistakes by new hedge fund owners who had little experience in the retail industry— put it back in bankruptcy 18 months later.
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That’s why a slowdown at West Coast ports in the runup to a key selling season—the kind of bad luck that can affect any business—led it on a path to bankruptcy in 2017.
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But the strategy that ownership group pursued, of paying out $352m in dividends during a two-year period after buying it—141% of operating profits in that span!—left it uniquely vulnerable to bad news.
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The retail industry is famously in disarray, and the company had lots of problems when one private equity group took over in 2012.
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To try to figure out went wrong, I went to Topeka to understand what went wrong at a company that has really been through the wringer of financialized control: Payless Shoesource.
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