Not really. AI has proved very effective at winning Chess, Jeopardy and Go, but it has done very little in the grand scheme to replace stuff that humans do. In the near- to medium-term it's mainly low-hanging fruit like search engine optimization that's at risk of replacement.
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Replying to @anti_minotaur @Outsideness and
I hate these discussions we're expected to choose between saying AGI isn't possible and GI is perfectly measurable, reducible to game winning etc. the fact that AI that does these things isn't good at anything else means Nick is, concretely, wrong about what intelligence is.
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Replying to @baroquespiral @anti_minotaur and
either that, or the whole paradigm of "AI in a lab" is mistaken.
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Replying to @cyborg_nomade @baroquespiral and
which I take is Land's larger point: AI is simply Capital at work. things like AlphaZero are parts of an ongoing automation trend, not its final triumph.
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Replying to @cyborg_nomade @baroquespiral and
and I think something like AlphaZero could be applied to, say, corporate processes and/or trading in order to automate a huge chunk of the economy.
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Replying to @cyborg_nomade @baroquespiral and
that it hasn't been applied tells more about the kind of institutions and people involved in DeepMind than about the effort to automate.
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Replying to @cyborg_nomade @baroquespiral and
Why assume this besides the fact it advances the "underlying argument"? What reason do we have to believe the people and institutions are the limiting factor rather than the technology?
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Replying to @anti_minotaur @baroquespiral and
have you worked in a corporation? anything that can beat the world champion of Go can beat any middle manager at shuffling paper.
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Replying to @cyborg_nomade @anti_minotaur and
The sheer level of eliding between different scales of complexity is now becoming known as Land's bane.
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This thread is becoming like maneuvering in land's dung.
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