I'm guessing it's one of those things where every potential vector of transmission counts since it's ultimately probabilistic
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Replying to @interpretantion @matdryhurst
I was talking to friends about this. First of all, China is an extremely precarious country when it comes to health infrastructure. Wuhan's hospitals are maxed out, the emergency line is not responsive. So we are dealing with a scenario where infected people infect more people.
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The distribution of necessary meds is now limited, because they have entered a phase where they need to think about much worse outbreaks in other cities.
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The lack of infrastructure mixed with a megacity population is know becoming a recipe for disaster as the food, pharmaceuticals, staff, gas and other resources are dwindling fast.
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Reza Negarestani Retweeted #bringNCTtoMelbourne
Reza Negarestani added,
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Replying to @NegarestaniReza @matdryhurst
Okay so I take it your argument is that even if hypothetically these robots reduce R0, the situation is already so dire that this is the equivalent of throwing a rock at an armored vehicle. Fair point.
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Replying to @interpretantion @matdryhurst
Perhaps not yet. But if the situation prolongs, we get something like the great plague of London: people have to barter, make their own markets for necessary goods, etc. This will enforce the spread. Even though, we have a much better med, our logistics is still rather medieval.
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Replying to @NegarestaniReza @matdryhurst
I don't have that much trust in American infrastructure at this point, for the most part I think that America's main advantages are lower population density, having more of a heads up, and less censorship will lead to people taking more precautions earlier.
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Replying to @interpretantion @matdryhurst
Yes that's correct. But Americans have the most sophisticated pharmaceutical industry. Also the ratio of hospitals and staff is not bad at all.
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Replying to @NegarestaniReza @matdryhurst
Yeah that is a fair point, for all the problems of the US healthcare system it attracts talent with fat paychecks AFAIK
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Also, in the case of a nation-wide emergency, most probably they will be forced to work for free. haha
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