Error-Related Negativity

@NegDiscountRt

"Life is short and truth works far and lives long: let us speak the truth." - Schopenhauer.

Vrijeme pridruživanja: veljača 2017.

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  1. Prikvačeni tweet
    17. sij

    “On making an error, our brain exhibits a waveform called error-related negativity (ERN).” - Wendy Wood, "Good Habits, Bad Habits"

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  2. For the first time in my life, I discovered and used the 'draw lines' feature of Yahoo Finance. And then I sold my 'hedge' calls (purchased this morning) when the price broke below the line. I got into finance after reading Ben Graham. Thank you.

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  3. Oh my God! My 50 strike puts are up +36%.

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  4. To all my fellow shorts, it was a mistake to short the common. I still think this is a squeeze or option market makers are driving the price. I'm now fully hedged with call options for the next month or so. I hope the madness dies.

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  5. << Determined to meet Bezos’s demand for Tesla-size government handouts, the HQ2 team became victims of their own hubris.>>

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  6. A question to our friends at : If your bear case is $1500/sh , why are you selling your shares?

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  7. Our value investing friends will be looking for bargains. If they can tell which companies are real and not frauds... Time to brush up on “Mandarin simplified”?

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  9. 2. velj

    We'll get a good glimpse into the shithole that is Russia from . Preparatory listening here, courtesy of our friends :

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  10. proslijedio/la je Tweet
    1. velj

    Did a semi-lengthy post detailing all my questions after Tesla's Q4 results (tweets/analysis from and included in post) Here are some of the ones I listed..(cont.)

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  11. 1. velj

    Folks, it is with deep sadness that I pronounce that... the Nigerian Yield curve has inverted. I ask everyone to be resilient in this hour of crisis.

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  12. 1. velj

    13/ -Importation of Solar shingles from China and the overall tax-payer-screwery that is the Buffalo factory etc. etc. , why are we being told empty dreams about tomorrow when today's crimes are going unnoticed?

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  13. 1. velj

    12/ -How Musk lied to investors about Solar City's insolvency and how the board (except Musk) recently settled in a lawsuit -Why Tesla warranty repairs get charged to good will -How Tesla's gross margin calculation differs from other OEMs -What "feature complete" for FSD means

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  14. 1. velj

    11/ And finally while all these interviews focus on the distant future, all the fraudulent aspects of Musk enterprises get swept under the mat. , next time you get a bull, why not try asking about: -The inexplicably high Accounts Receivable ...

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  15. 1. velj

    10/ And you can't really compare two chips by looking at their specs - especially Tesla specs which I claim probably are exaggerated. Putting a timeline like '4 years ahead' is also incredibly dubious. If anything, Nvidia is 30 years ahead of Tesla in the chip-making business.

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  16. 1. velj

    9/ The chip making culture is the opposite of 'move fast and break things' ethos associated with Silicon Valley. There is little room for error and there is a lot of obsessive (and very boring) testing involved, as you can't rewrite the chip once it is manufactured.

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  17. 1. velj

    8/ Well guess what, I worked at Nvidia too but as an actual hardware engineer in verification and design of semiconductor chips. I haven't seen Tesla's specs or the competitions' but I think it's incredibly risky and expensive for Tesla to manufacture its own chips.

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  18. 1. velj

    7/ And apparently our friend , who worked at Nvidia ("the artificial intelligence company") for 8 years as an editor in chief of a website and a manager for a gaming app, thinks (just by looking at Tesla's chip specs) that Tesla is 4-years ahead of the competition.

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  19. 1. velj

    6/ She also says "GM capex spending for electric vehicles is only $25B - it should be $100B". And yet capex for 2019 was $1.327B, far below previous year's $2.101B. And lastly, where is the capex for the China factory? Is it included in the cash flow statement?

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  20. 1. velj

    5/ Catherine Wood also makes fun of critics who had suggested that lithium-ion batteries would "blow up just like in cell phones" - and yet cars have caught many many inexplicable fires. Remember the video of a Tesla car blowing up in a closed parking structure in China...

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  21. 1. velj

    4/ Wood also suggests that other auto-makers are miserably failing. Yet, the introduction of Jaguar iPace, Audi eTron have begun to put significant pressure on Model S and X sales, which started declining in 2018 (I believe)...

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