Ed Royce is a really big retirement for the Democrats. Clinton won his district by 9 points; He won by 15 points, was still considered lean R by ratings folks. Not anymore.
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Unlike a lot of the Sun Belt districts, CA-39 isn't coming out of nowhere. Registration is ~R+1.5, Romney won it by 3. It's not a district where the GOP can just fall back on heavy Republican tradition
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Royce was ready for the fight, too. Was raising plenty of money; had $3.5m in the bank at the end of the last quarter.
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(though I guess that's not quite as intimidating as it usually would be, after Andy Thornburn gave his own campaign $2 million)
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District is very suburban with wealthy and working class pockets. Lots of property owners who will not like the tax bill. People put all their savings into buying a home at CA prices and now the benefits are limited.
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And we will be double taxed, bc of CA high income taxes.
He screwed over his constituents and he's retiring to avoid answering for it.
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Cryptic Nate. Who is Royce and where is he from? If Clinton won by 9 why was it a lean-R.? -Thanks
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one theory is that they expect next year to be legislatively rudderless, then GOP to lose control of House and thus 2 more years of lame-duck gridlock. why muddle through that mess when you can have fun this year, don't run for re-elect, and get a cushy consulting/lobbying gig?
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Its CALIFORNIA, R's wont win anything here ever again. Its so far gone its not funny.
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