Effect of paper ballots in Wisconsin goes from 7 pts, like NY article, to 0 if you control for race education, density (true w&w/o weights,)
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I named a variable wrong, which has no substantive effect on the 'paper ballot' coefficient but flips colplus/black coef. in a sensible way
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Numbers games aside, there's no legit argument against recounting.
Why? Because it would make all the #s geeks look bad?
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You are using d-shift as dependent variable? Why? That doesn't seem to be their dependent variable. Try with dem margin?
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numbers are numbers; doesn't matter whether i called a number black or white. it sees the same pattern
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and the salient pattern is 'this paper ballot thing matters a lot less than race and education'
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he said it would be good to have done as best practice, not that it was likely voting machines hacked.




