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Nate_Cohn's profile
Nate Cohn
Nate Cohn
Nate Cohn
Verified account
@Nate_Cohn

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Nate CohnVerified account

@Nate_Cohn

I write for The New York Times at @UpshotNYT. I cover elections, polling, and demographics. Northwest expat.

New York, NY
topics.nytimes.com/top/reference/…
Joined January 2012

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    Nate Cohn‏Verified account @Nate_Cohn 27 Oct 2016

    This election is very much underway, and there's nothing about the early voting data that suggests the polls are overstating D turnout

    10:31 AM - 27 Oct 2016
    • 568 Retweets
    • 1,096 Likes
    • Samir S. Bhala RainyMyth T V S Melody Oliphant Barry Gerard Kyle Butz Aginghippie Gayle Quiller AhQ
    43 replies 568 retweets 1,096 likes
      1. New conversation
      2. EdAsante‏ @EdAsante77 27 Oct 2016
        Replying to @Nate_Cohn

        Really? Black turnout down in NC & GA vs. 12. Large Dem leaning counties in OH down as well.

        7 replies 1 retweet 6 likes
      3. EdAsante‏ @EdAsante77 27 Oct 2016
        Replying to @EdAsante77 @Nate_Cohn

        of course method of voting may change but I think it's incorrect to say there are no signs, there are signs.

        2 replies 0 retweets 6 likes
      4. Morgan Mik.‏ @SoccerPharaoh 27 Oct 2016
        Replying to @EdAsante77

        - You're incorrect. She is ahead of Obama in early voting in NC. Plus more voting sites for AA voters opened up today.

        2 replies 2 retweets 8 likes
      5. EdAsante‏ @EdAsante77 27 Oct 2016
        Replying to @SoccerPharaoh

        she is not, that may change but not at the moment.

        3 replies 0 retweets 1 like
      6. Morgan Mik.‏ @SoccerPharaoh 27 Oct 2016
        Replying to @EdAsante77

        - The numbers speak for themselves. She has 22% lead so far. Look # Nate's earlier posts. No one is making this stuff up.

        3 replies 1 retweet 4 likes
      7. EdAsante‏ @EdAsante77 27 Oct 2016
        Replying to @SoccerPharaoh

        that's based on their sample of a few voters. No one knows who is leading.

        1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
      8. 1 more reply
      1. New conversation
      2. (((R.A. Roth Sees You When You're Tweeting)))‏ @fantagor 27 Oct 2016
        Replying to @Nate_Cohn

        Also notable that Latino early vote turnout in FL is X2 2012. Doesn't bode well for Trump. @Nate_Cohn @GottaLaff

        3 replies 6 retweets 21 likes
      3. 1 more reply
      1.  👠‏ @jhrizzy 27 Oct 2016
        Replying to @MarkRountreeAtl @Nate_Cohn

        Quinnipiac says Clinton's up 48-42 in early Georgia vote, so still time for a second Trump Tape to make GA blue

        0 replies 3 retweets 0 likes
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      1. Jess Sumpter‏ @jessayin2U 28 Oct 2016
        Replying to @Nate_Cohn

        @ursaluna I went on first day and it took an hour with line almost two blocks long. DEMS ARE COMING OUT! Need them.

        0 replies 2 retweets 2 likes
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      1. Francesca Farber 🇺🇸‏ @FranMFarber 27 Oct 2016
        Replying to @Nate_Cohn

        I was polled 13 times in PA because I am registered "D". My entire family in same house polled only once all registered "R".

        0 replies 1 retweet 4 likes
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      1. Jeffrey Lieber‏Verified account @JeffLieber 27 Oct 2016
        Replying to @Nate_Cohn

        You should do THIS (http://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2016/09/20/upshot/the-error-the-polling-world-rarely-talks-about.html?action=click&contentCollection=The%20Upshot&region=Footer&module=WhatsNext&version=WhatsNext&contentID=WhatsNext&moduleDetail=undefined&pgtype=Multimedia …) again with current polling.

        0 replies 1 retweet 3 likes
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      1. Deb G‏ @IBDeb2 27 Oct 2016
        Replying to @Nate_Cohn

        Dems must vote if we want to win. This is not over. Please Dems, every vote needed to ensure a win. Vote Dems up & down ballot 🇺🇸

        0 replies 1 retweet 3 likes
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      1. Rudy Ⓥ‏ @RudyCordovaJr 27 Oct 2016
        Replying to @Nate_Cohn

        People tend to forget GOP won popular vote only once in 24 years. Can't win again without women and minorities.

        0 replies 1 retweet 3 likes
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      1. Get Ovah it- Al Davis‏ @getovahit 27 Oct 2016
        Replying to @Nate_Cohn

        almost seems like dems are over performing right now versus polls wouldn't you say?

        0 replies 0 retweets 7 likes
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      1. Steve Zorowitz‏ @szorowitz 27 Oct 2016
        Replying to @Nate_Cohn

        Will you guys have another FL poll before the end?

        0 replies 0 retweets 9 likes
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      1. New conversation
      2. Andrew Schneider‏ @AndyMSchneider 27 Oct 2016
        Replying to @Nate_Cohn @DylanByers

        is there a one stop place for early voting data with comparisons to 08 and 12?

        1 reply 0 retweets 3 likes
      3. ProfessorPickles‏ @NYMETS32 27 Oct 2016
        Replying to @AndyMSchneider @Nate_Cohn @DylanByers

        Try @ElectProject

        1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
      4. OuiCestMoi‏ @Arnaud5566 27 Oct 2016
        Replying to @NYMETS32 @AndyMSchneider and

        Follow @steveschale for specific FL numbers. He's the best.

        1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
      5. ProfessorPickles‏ @NYMETS32 27 Oct 2016
        Replying to @Arnaud5566 @AndyMSchneider and

        Agreed

        0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
      6. End of conversation

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