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In testing, I've got to tell you that this won't always seem 'rational'--you can't see the turnout half of the equation, to take one obvious thing that was actually pretty important in the way the needle moved in November. But it's enjoyable imo
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On that turnout half, you'd be surprised how many messy precinct-level turnouts there are--in part because of imperfect election administration (say, you report all of your election day votes as early votes or whatever). I don't think they were all cleared up in the recount tbh
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I'm not going to play by play each update, but take this one. Dems did better than expected in these most recent votes, but est nudged back toward Perdue. What you can't see (and maybe we should add) is that the Election Day turnout there was higher than expectedpic.twitter.com/9Rxcpynfqh
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To be precise, so far Election Day turnout is 17% higher than expected (overall expected 1.15m iirc) but it's also 7 pts more Dem. But we're talking about a mere 644 votes so please don't read into this--just going deep on a small update to explain how it works
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SHES LIVE
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Here we go...
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LESSSS GOOO JEB
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