Trump wins the new Maricopa vote by 15.6 points. Still not good enough for him. Still not going to yield a projection, I don't think.
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Yesterday's ballots really weren't close to being on track for him. If today's results were like that, it'd be a different story. But that's not what we got this AM, and we don't know which way things trend fro here
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I do continue to think there's more reason to expect things to trend Biden's way than not, because I'd *guess* the provisionals are better for Biden and that is the longer term trendline. But we don't know that for a fact.
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The other big thing that could help Biden: if there's fewer ballots left than the state's website suggests. Heading into today, it said 92k in Maricopa. They just reported 48k, and now they say there's 24k left... which would have meant 72k left heading into this dump.
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It's taking this long in pretty much every state that has vote by mail. The only difference is you're focused on this one bc it hasn't been called
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Not according to the Maricopa County Recorder there aren’t.
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Looking at NYT, there is a fair amount left in some of the other counties.
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Pima though...
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“We are counting votes, this is democracy.”- John King
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Trump wins Arizona
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You’re still at it aren’t you
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