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Nate_Cohn's profile
Nate Cohn
Nate Cohn
Nate Cohn
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@Nate_Cohn

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Nate CohnVerified account

@Nate_Cohn

I write for The New York Times at @UpshotNYT. I cover elections, polling, and demographics. Northwest expat.

New York, NY
topics.nytimes.com/top/reference/…
Joined January 2012

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    Nate Cohn‏Verified account @Nate_Cohn 8 Sep 2020

    Democratic weakness (relative to '16) in Miami-Dade has been evident for a while, but this is a particularly tough poll result for Biden in a county that makes up ~10% of the tipping point statehttps://www.miamiherald.com/news/politics-government/article245495835.html …

    5:08 AM - 8 Sep 2020
    • 285 Retweets
    • 706 Likes
    • Some guy brandita Unsilent Majority 🙏🗽🍵🌸 Global Citizen 🌟 Raj 🦅 #DemCast 🗽 Balasubramanian 🥁 Agent Kallus aranom Laurent Fourier
    137 replies 285 retweets 706 likes
      1. Nate Cohn‏Verified account @Nate_Cohn 8 Sep 2020

        Back in 2018, a similar result in Miami-Dade was *just* enough for Scott/DeSantis to squeak out a narrow victory while doing worse than Trump elsewhere in the state. It's quite possible the 2020 FL map looks quite a bit like 2018, regardless of the winner

        13 replies 44 retweets 247 likes
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      2. Stewart Bailey‏ @StewB123 8 Sep 2020
        Replying to @joshwhitneyy @Nate_Cohn

        I think it's the humidity. Scrambles their brains

        1 reply 0 retweets 6 likes
      3. End of conversation
      1. D Berl‏ @dberl0909 8 Sep 2020
        Replying to @Nate_Cohn

        Polls dont vote-people do #Register #Vote #VoteBluepic.twitter.com/OsoO4YLwiI

        1 reply 0 retweets 7 likes
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      1. Nate Cohn‏Verified account @Nate_Cohn 8 Sep 2020

        should say *a* tipping point state

        2 replies 1 retweet 80 likes
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      1. New conversation
      2. dooraven‏ @dooraven 8 Sep 2020
        Replying to @Nate_Cohn

        If he's doing that badly in Miami Dade and still leading polls I assume the rest of the state has shifted right? Also I assume polls in FL don't take into account the numerous numbers of Puerto Ricans thatt migrated there after the hurricane

        9 replies 2 retweets 16 likes
      3. In Mac We Trust  ☘️  🥁 🦑 🧲  🇺🇸 🦅  🌐  🌹‏ @RBidenism 8 Sep 2020
        Replying to @dooraven @Nate_Cohn

        It's because Biden is doing well with White and older voters so places like the Tampa Bay Area are swinging Dem.

        1 reply 0 retweets 30 likes
      4. Show replies
      1. New conversation
      2. Fire Brian Cashman‏ @ohiodem55 8 Sep 2020
        Replying to @Nate_Cohn

        So Trump is in great shape, what a surprise from Nate.

        3 replies 1 retweet 8 likes
      3. Consequence is no coincidence‏ @BlueSteelDC 8 Sep 2020
        Replying to @ohiodem55 @Nate_Cohn

        This population is hard to poll and likes to mislead pollsters

        2 replies 3 retweets 28 likes
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      2. Jeremy Nolin‏ @jeremy_nolin 8 Sep 2020
        Replying to @Nate_Cohn

        I know that Biden can technically win without Florida (lots of maps show that); however, it really feels like Florida will decide this election. If Biden wins Florida , the has gotten enough white vote to do well in the Midwest. I think Florida is more than just icing on the cake

        3 replies 0 retweets 5 likes
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