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Nate_Cohn's profile
Nate Cohn
Nate Cohn
Nate Cohn
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@Nate_Cohn

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Nate CohnVerified account

@Nate_Cohn

I write for The New York Times at @UpshotNYT. I cover elections, polling, and demographics. Northwest expat.

New York, NY
topics.nytimes.com/top/reference/…
Joined January 2012

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    Nate Cohn‏Verified account @Nate_Cohn 1 Mar 2020

    At this point, the most serious Super Tuesday question is how many candidates breach 15 percent in California, statewide and in most districts, and therefore whether Sanders can pull off a knock out blow

    10:20 AM - 1 Mar 2020
    • 110 Retweets
    • 616 Likes
    • Susan Hatch Edwin Scipio parker rose, a demon from hell Dave 🤵💉💉🌳🏡😴 Cameraadds10lbs Ben Moorlach stephanie saul Rational Liberal
    24 replies 110 retweets 616 likes
      1. New conversation
      2. Nate Cohn‏Verified account @Nate_Cohn 1 Mar 2020

        I say this in part because the other Super Tuesday questions may not prove to be so interesting at this point. How much will Biden surge? It's a good question, but it just doesn't need to be much to sweep most of the South and bring about a clear one-on-one race after Super Tues

        8 replies 9 retweets 124 likes
        Show this thread
      3. Nate Cohn‏Verified account @Nate_Cohn 1 Mar 2020

        Could Biden extend a surge to Texas? Perhaps. Is it that significant? It would certainly give him needed momentum, but the difference between a modest win or loss there for Sanders or Biden isn't hugely important in delegate math (where others are over 15 could be more so)

        3 replies 7 retweets 90 likes
        Show this thread
      4. Nate Cohn‏Verified account @Nate_Cohn 1 Mar 2020

        Now what share of delegates will Sanders get in California? That's a big question, and it's sensitive to modest swings. If in most places only Sanders and one other candidate, presumably Biden, clears 15 percent, you could easily end up with a big Sanders delegate majority there

        9 replies 11 retweets 99 likes
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      5. Nate Cohn‏Verified account @Nate_Cohn 1 Mar 2020

        An NV-type result, say Sanders 35, Biden 20, Warren/Bloom/Pete <15, could give Sanders >60% of the delegates there.

        10 replies 11 retweets 110 likes
        Show this thread
      6. End of conversation
      1. t‏ @R0SARl010i 1 Mar 2020
        Replying to @Nate_Cohn

        If he does, how many more delegates does he get?

        0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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      2. ProfessorPickles‏ @NYMETS32 1 Mar 2020
        Replying to @Nate_Cohn

        Sanders, Biden, and maybe Warren

        1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
      3. This Tweet is unavailable.
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      1. New conversation
      2. Liam Rose  🇺🇸‏ @LiamRose1000 1 Mar 2020
        Replying to @Nate_Cohn

        If Warren is unviable is Cali. Bernie can win it all 😏

        1 reply 0 retweets 5 likes
      3. Susan Israel‏ @Sqrlmom 1 Mar 2020
        Replying to @LiamRose1000 @Nate_Cohn

        But he won't.

        0 replies 0 retweets 1 like
      4. End of conversation
      1. This Tweet is unavailable.
      2. Contraestupidez‏ @Jaytiger891 1 Mar 2020

        hopefully

        0 replies 0 retweets 15 likes
      3. End of conversation

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