Estes underperformed Trump's margin by 20.3 points. If every district behaved like that, Dems would gain 122 (!) House seats next November.https://twitter.com/realDonaldTrump/status/852138509355933697 …
They'd also win Senate races next year in Texas, Utah and Mississippi (plus Arizona and Nevada).
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I might move to Utah just to vote against that amoral, soulless Chaffetz! I've already donated to his Democratic challenger @kathrynallenmd
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Me too--donate that is--while Utahs weather more seasonal than Texas, I'm gonna stay &
#Resist GOP till I die.
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Back in 09, gubanatorial wins in NJ and VA suggested a GOP comeback - then 2010. Did the 09 turnout have preditive power then?
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And, if so, did 09 present an under- or over-estimate of GOP chances in 2010?
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I am SO looking forward to Arizona being a swing state.
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A Dem. Party that can't carry Pa, Mi, or Wi doesn't need to be worrying about Az. Sorry.
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Resistance is never futile.
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Nate Silver is getting an early start on making a fool out of himself once again. If the economy is humming by 2018 GOP will not lose ground
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If the "Trump welcome" keeps scaring tourism jobs away at the border and we keep getting weak job reports like March, then no.
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Yeah, T***** is going to have to find a way to get rid of those pesky elections!
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Don't say that out loud! You'll jinx us
#vote2018#DNC#RESIST it is along way there but it is a beautiful destination.#indivisibleThanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo
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Just goes to show that kind of extrapolation is stupid.
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have to agree. well-reported local factors
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Do you ever bet on your predictions? I hope not, since you'd be broke.
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Arizona??? Do tell.
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Yeah Jeff Flake is having huge uprising against him there. AZ moved several points towards Democrats in the last election.
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Like to think that I'm part of that uprising. (And in House, McSally's recent flurry of PR indicates she's nervous too.) Hope they saw KS.
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