They'd also win Senate races next year in Texas, Utah and Mississippi (plus Arizona and Nevada).
Estes underperformed Trump's margin by 20.3 points. If every district behaved like that, Dems would gain 122 (!) House seats next November.https://twitter.com/realDonaldTrump/status/852138509355933697 …
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I might move to Utah just to vote against that amoral, soulless Chaffetz! I've already donated to his Democratic challenger @kathrynallenmd
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How was the performance compared to the results of the last congressional election in that district?
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Bad. Pompeo won it by 31 points in 2016.http://www.vox.com/policy-and-politics/2017/4/11/15242692/kansas-special-election …
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That says something. The other issue is how much has to do with Brownback as well.
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Brownback has been hated and w/ low approval numbers for years, including when Pompeo won. Not a changed perception
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"If every district behaved like that..." Of course, every district is NOT going to be like that. So this is just meaningless speculation.
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seems more like a mathematical comparison not a prediction - like "the length of four football fields"
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I can see looking at difference in one district, but to blindly compare to a bunch of other, very different districts... Gets clicks, though
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clicks to what? it's a tweet, an ephemeral puff of wind
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Usually there's a link to an article on their site. Or maybe a tweet will get people to visit their site. I like "ephemeral puff of wind."
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It's an "ephemeral puff of wind" that's recorded in the Library of Congress archives:http://www.politico.com/story/2015/07/library-of-congress-twitter-archive-119698.html …
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not if that link is accurate
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I think it is
we will see.
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Did the Dems spend heavily? I'm sure I read that they predicted defeat and so hardly spent anything.
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Campaign asked for $20,000 and was turned down.
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Thx for the analysis
@NateSilver538, the TX-21 w/@LamarSmithTX21 is a perfect example! More here: https://www.crowdpac.com/campaigns/193261/joseph-kopser-new-leadership-for-tx-21 … cc@314action -
4 month of Trump: a 20 point swing. It is what we need to get rid of
@LamarSmithTX21. Last election he had 57% and @TexansforTom had 36%.
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