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NateSilver538's profile
Nate Silver
Nate Silver
Nate Silver
Verified account
@NateSilver538

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Nate SilverVerified account

@NateSilver538

Editor-in-Chief, @FiveThirtyEight. Author, The Signal and the Noise (http://amzn.to/QdyFYV ). Sports/politics/food geek.

New York
fivethirtyeight.com
Joined August 2008

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    Nate Silver‏Verified account @NateSilver538 31 Oct 2016

    Esoteric hot take: If polling swings are exaggerated by non-response bias, that suggests a significant risk of systemic polling error.

    9:16 AM - 31 Oct 2016
    • 379 Retweets
    • 802 Likes
    • Total Ninja Vir 🐸 👍🚁👌 gordon b. mower Friar Jack Media Giraffe WorldwidePolitics Brandon Vise Olaf Jaime Larios K.
    186 replies 379 retweets 802 likes
      1. New conversation
      2. Nate Silver‏Verified account @NateSilver538 31 Oct 2016
        Replying to @NateSilver538

        Either polls are having trouble capturing a random sample, or voter preferences are quite volatile. Either way, lots of uncertainty.

        203 replies 270 retweets 458 likes
      3. Wendy‏ @WendyBoiseID 31 Oct 2016
        Replying to @NateSilver538

        Can you translate to English? Thx

        3 replies 1 retweet 7 likes
      4. 1 more reply
      1. New conversation
      2. (((Harry Enten)))‏Verified account @ForecasterEnten 31 Oct 2016
        Replying to @NateSilver538

        I'll give this a warm take.

        7 replies 0 retweets 91 likes
      3. 1 more reply
      1. New conversation
      2. DGK‏ @DolemiteGK 31 Oct 2016
        Replying to @NateSilver538

        stop playing dumbpic.twitter.com/NkkM5ceIqy

        1 reply 22 retweets 13 likes
      3. 1 more reply
      1. New conversation
      2. John Podhoretz‏Verified account @jpodhoretz 31 Oct 2016
        Replying to @NateSilver538

        stop subtweeting Bill Mitchell

        1 reply 3 retweets 12 likes
      3. 1 more reply
      1. New conversation
      2. Richard Gadsden 🐝‏ @po8crg 31 Oct 2016
        Replying to @NateSilver538

        Will you please stop. I'm going to burst....

        1 reply 1 retweet 19 likes
      3. 1 more reply
      1. Jamie Lindsay‏ @JamieLindsay 31 Oct 2016
        Replying to @NateSilver538

        Esoteric Hot Take? Ever-decreasing concentric circles until one flies up ones own rear end.

        0 replies 0 retweets 8 likes
        Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. Undo
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      1. Hudson, sir. He's Hicks.‏ @Amanda_Kerri 31 Oct 2016
        Replying to @NateSilver538

        I've long said polls are based on who you get to actually respond.

        0 replies 0 retweets 8 likes
        Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. Undo
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      1. Nick‏ @nick24187 31 Oct 2016
        Replying to @NateSilver538

        I don't know what like 5 of these words mean

        0 replies 0 retweets 8 likes
        Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. Undo
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      1. Mark Phariss‏ @mapjd1 31 Oct 2016
        Replying to @NateSilver538

        Whatever that means! :)

        0 replies 0 retweets 6 likes
        Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. Undo
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      1. New conversation
      2. DeeP Rising‏ @DefaultProphet 31 Oct 2016
        Replying to @NateSilver538

        Man you're really hand wringy since missing the Trump call huh?

        3 replies 1 retweet 4 likes
      3. 1 more reply

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