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NateSilver538's profile
Nate Silver
Nate Silver
Nate Silver
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@NateSilver538

Nate SilverVerified account

@NateSilver538

Editor-in-Chief, @FiveThirtyEight. Author, The Signal and the Noise (http://amzn.to/QdyFYV ). Sports/politics/food geek.

Joined August 2008
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    1. Nate Silver ‏@NateSilver538 Jul 25

      TRUMP now leads in 538's now-cast, our estimate of what would happen in an election today. http://53eig.ht/2aq4w6p pic.twitter.com/7DvrdieHOw

      6,805 retweets 4,569 likes
    2. Nate Silver ‏@NateSilver538 Jul 25

      CLINTON still leads in our polls-plus model, which adjusts for Trump's convention bounce. http://53eig.ht/2934XS8 pic.twitter.com/J0G2D5PHxK

      1,583 retweets 1,222 likes
    3. fierman ‏@fierman Jul 25

      @NateSilver538 If one were inclined to be — ahem — panicky, which model should one pay more attention to?

      3 retweets 54 likes
      Nate Silver Verified account ‏@NateSilver538 Jul 25

      @fierman: Polls-plus is the most accurate, historically. But the now-cast is fun if you like to panic!

      • Retweets 100
      • Likes 242
      • Michael Li Michael Bellows Rob M Uotkins Dzhudit Theo McKinnon 楊凯文 Muttl Patrick Mackey Serenity
      6:19 AM - 25 Jul 2016
      100 retweets 242 likes
        1. Alan Sepinwall ‏@sepinwall Jul 25

          @NateSilver538 @fierman Oh, many of us like to panic.

          3 retweets 40 likes
        2. Show more
      1. Col. Ben Bannister ‏@ColBannister Jul 25

        @NateSilver538 @fierman A truth I have already accepted-buckle up-this will be close no matter what polls change now-nov, will be 1-3% race

        0 retweets 1 like
      2. Thibault BM ‏@Thibault_B Jul 30 Thetford, England

        @NateSilver538 @fierman I wonder how much "fun" there is to have when the fate of the entire world is a stake, tho.

        0 retweets 0 likes
      3. wtfnews ‏@wtfnewsamerica Jul 25

        @NateSilver538 @fierman cough cough - dick - cough

        0 retweets 0 likes
      4. John Epler ‏@eplerjc Jul 25

        @NateSilver538 @fierman I -DO- love panicking.

        0 retweets 0 likes
      5. Patrick W. Ziegler ‏@PWZiegler Jul 25

        @NateSilver538 @fierman Not thrilled with panic. So I will rely on Polls-plus thank you!

        0 retweets 0 likes
      6. John Zeleznik ‏@john_zeleznik Jul 25

        @NateSilver538 @fierman Who ENJOYS panic? Seriously.

        0 retweets 0 likes
      7. Ken M. Haggerty ‏@kenmhaggerty Jul 25

        @NateSilver538 Naïve question: Do pollsters ask respondents, "Has your opinion changed in last x months?" as way of measuring momentum?

        0 retweets 0 likes
      8. ethanmmm1 ‏@ethanmmm1 Jul 26

        @NateSilver538 @fierman remember michigan in the primaries....

        0 retweets 0 likes
      9. A ‏@PeaceLoveAnie Jul 26

        @NateSilver538 @fierman this is not your average election, therefore I don't think any poll predicting widget can be relied on

        0 retweets 0 likes
      10. GrumpyDog ‏@nicstrendy Jul 26

        @NateSilver538 @fierman You should add 'Muh feeling-cast', it would be fun

        0 retweets 0 likes
      11. Wesley Dodds ‏@WesleyDodds1 Jul 25

        @NateSilver538 @fierman Yeah Nate Silver will tell you something different tomorrow or in an hour, etc. This guy has NO IDEA. NONE. ZERO.

        0 retweets 0 likes
      12. Mr.Groover ‏@18major Jul 25

        @NateSilver538 @fierman I was about to say really Nate lmaooo you know there are two more scenarios showing Clinton still leading

        0 retweets 0 likes
      13. Dan Moody ‏@SpiderDanThree Jul 25

        @NateSilver538 @fierman Wasn't your polls-plus model during the primaries worse than the polls only?

        0 retweets 0 likes
      14. Chris Turnbow ‏@cturnbow Jul 25

        @NateSilver538 @fierman PLEASE don't do that again...argughg MS is red in both. Dammit DAMMIT

        0 retweets 0 likes
      15. Laura M ‏@lemihajlov Jul 25

        @NateSilver538 starting to make Canada contingency plans now. Thanks a lot.

        0 retweets 0 likes
      16. Justin Pierce ‏@JPierceAz Jul 25

        @NateSilver538 @fierman does this include the other 2 candidates in the race? Trump does even better when all candidates are included.

        0 retweets 0 likes
      17. ✞ Victor ♘ ‏@USA_FREEDOM_NOW Jul 25

        @NateSilver538 @fierman "historically"

        0 retweets 0 likes

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