TRUMP now leads in 538's now-cast, our estimate of what would happen in an election today. http://53eig.ht/2aq4w6p pic.twitter.com/7DvrdieHOw
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@NateSilver538 @fierman Oh, many of us like to panic.
@NateSilver538 @fierman A truth I have already accepted-buckle up-this will be close no matter what polls change now-nov, will be 1-3% race
@NateSilver538 @fierman I wonder how much "fun" there is to have when the fate of the entire world is a stake, tho.
@NateSilver538 @fierman cough cough - dick - cough
@NateSilver538 @fierman I -DO- love panicking.
@NateSilver538 @fierman Not thrilled with panic. So I will rely on Polls-plus thank you!
@NateSilver538 @fierman Who ENJOYS panic? Seriously.
@NateSilver538 Naïve question: Do pollsters ask respondents, "Has your opinion changed in last x months?" as way of measuring momentum?
@NateSilver538 @fierman remember michigan in the primaries....
@NateSilver538 @fierman this is not your average election, therefore I don't think any poll predicting widget can be relied on
@NateSilver538 @fierman You should add 'Muh feeling-cast', it would be fun
@NateSilver538 @fierman Yeah Nate Silver will tell you something different tomorrow or in an hour, etc. This guy has NO IDEA. NONE. ZERO.
@NateSilver538 @fierman I was about to say really Nate lmaooo you know there are two more scenarios showing Clinton still leading
@NateSilver538 @fierman Wasn't your polls-plus model during the primaries worse than the polls only?
@NateSilver538 @fierman PLEASE don't do that again...argughg MS is red in both. Dammit DAMMIT
@NateSilver538 starting to make Canada contingency plans now. Thanks a lot.
@NateSilver538 @fierman does this include the other 2 candidates in the race? Trump does even better when all candidates are included.
@NateSilver538 @fierman "historically"
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