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NateSilver538's profile
Nate Silver
Nate Silver
Nate Silver
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@NateSilver538

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Nate SilverVerified account

@NateSilver538

Editor-in-Chief, @FiveThirtyEight. Author, The Signal and the Noise (http://amzn.to/QdyFYV ). Sports/politics/food geek.

New York
fivethirtyeight.com
Joined August 2008

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    Nate Silver‏Verified account @NateSilver538 19 Jul 2016

    We'll know a lot more about where the race stands in 30 days. http://53eig.ht/2adwR2F pic.twitter.com/pMhTjhrLVc

    8:14 AM - 19 Jul 2016
    • 238 Retweets
    • 276 Likes
    • political science wingman Snarky Ginger JGR Eric Budd Chris New Year's Suvy SingleGayGuy Wreck Mark McDaniel
    35 replies 238 retweets 276 likes
      1. New conversation
      2. Nate Silver‏Verified account @NateSilver538 19 Jul 2016
        Replying to @NateSilver538

        One caution, though. In 2012, there were 61 days between the convention and the election. This year? 103 days. Gonna be a LONG campaign.

        33 replies 115 retweets 206 likes
      3. John Green‏Verified account @johngreen 19 Jul 2016
        Replying to @NateSilver538

        It's GOING TO BE long? It has already been so, so, so long.

        3 replies 9 retweets 123 likes
      4. 1 more reply
      1. New conversation
      2. david w. thompson‏ @dwthompson1945 19 Jul 2016
        Replying to @NateSilver538

        'Actual result...Gore,' your bias is showing.

        2 replies 1 retweet 1 like
      3. Dave On Tap‏ @DaveOnTap 19 Jul 2016
        Replying to @dwthompson1945

        That's not bias. That's the actual popular vote margin. You do know how the 2000 election was decided, yes? @NateSilver538

        1 reply 0 retweets 3 likes
      4. david w. thompson‏ @dwthompson1945 19 Jul 2016
        Replying to @DaveOnTap @NateSilver538

        Yeah, Ralph Nader did to Gore what Ross Perot did to GHW Bush...

        1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
      5. Dave On Tap‏ @DaveOnTap 19 Jul 2016
        Replying to @dwthompson1945

        Perhaps, but not the point. SCOTUS directed FL to stop the ballot recount, giving Bush their EC votes. @NateSilver538

        1 reply 0 retweets 2 likes
      6. david w. thompson‏ @dwthompson1945 19 Jul 2016
        Replying to @DaveOnTap @NateSilver538

        As you say SCOTUS decided...

        1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
      7. Dave On Tap‏ @DaveOnTap 19 Jul 2016
        Replying to @dwthompson1945

        Yes. Gore (barely) won the popular vote but lost on EC votes. @NateSilver538

        1 reply 0 retweets 3 likes
      8. david w. thompson‏ @dwthompson1945 19 Jul 2016
        Replying to @DaveOnTap @NateSilver538

        In the end those EC votes are the ones that count...

        1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
      9. Dave On Tap‏ @DaveOnTap 19 Jul 2016
        Replying to @dwthompson1945

        Exactly. It is possible to lose EC and win pop. vote. Your claim of @NateSilver538's "bias" is unfounded.

        1 reply 0 retweets 3 likes
      10. 1 more reply
      1. New conversation
      2. Greg Sargent‏Verified account @ThePlumLineGS 19 Jul 2016
        Replying to @NateSilver538

        so every time, leader after conventions went on to win popular vote?

        5 replies 0 retweets 5 likes
      3. cory cormier‏ @corymier 19 Jul 2016
        Replying to @ThePlumLineGS @NateSilver538

        no...Gore

        1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
      4. Greg Sargent‏Verified account @ThePlumLineGS 19 Jul 2016
        Replying to @corymier @NateSilver538

        Gore didn't win the popular vote?

        0 replies 0 retweets 3 likes
      5. End of conversation
      1. iolantherosa‏ @iolantherosa 19 Jul 2016
        Replying to @NateSilver538

        Just wake me when it's over, mmkay?

        0 replies 1 retweet 4 likes
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      1. Bigshotprof‏ @thebigshotprof 19 Jul 2016
        Replying to @NateSilver538

        if you're talking about the white race, it stands in a stupefying delusional state about its contributions. ;)

        0 replies 1 retweet 2 likes
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      1. Rollo Dimes‏ @Rollo_Dimes 19 Jul 2016
        Replying to @NateSilver538

        So weird to see Gore +0.5.

        0 replies 0 retweets 5 likes
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      1. GRU Bot‏ @CAF_Seattle 19 Jul 2016
        Replying to @NateSilver538

        @ImpactDemocracy Nate is now trying to put a finger in the dam holding back a tide of reality .. HRC is collapsing

        0 replies 1 retweet 1 like
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      1. wolfgang‏ @comintern17 19 Jul 2016
        Replying to @NateSilver538

        @PekingMike looking at this, not really though

        0 replies 0 retweets 3 likes
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      1. Mr. Tantastic‏ @mrtantastic 19 Jul 2016
        Replying to @NateSilver538

        @benchmarkpol won't debates yield some subtraction? I can't see Trump faring well on policy or Clinton on ethics.

        0 replies 0 retweets 2 likes
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