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NateSilver538's profile
Nate Silver
Nate Silver
Nate Silver
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@NateSilver538

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Nate SilverVerified account

@NateSilver538

Founder, EIC @FiveThirtyEight. Author, The Signal and the Noise (http://amzn.to/QdyFYV ). Sports/politics/food geek. Not a virologist.

New York
fivethirtyeight.com
Joined August 2008

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    1. Carl T. Bergstrom‏Verified account @CT_Bergstrom Aug 4

      Vaccine effectiveness (VE) is a relative measure comparing infection risk of vaccinated to unvaccinated individuals. But the risk to unvaccinated people is a moving target. As the pandemic progresses, the fraction of unvaccinated individuals with prior natural immunity increases.

      62 replies 534 retweets 3,704 likes
      Show this thread
      Nate Silver‏Verified account @NateSilver538 Aug 4
      Replying to @CT_Bergstrom

      Nate Silver Retweeted Nate Silver

      It's no prob because I'm glad it's getting more visibility but you're kind of stealing this take from me.https://twitter.com/NateSilver538/status/1422896644283043841?s=20 …

      Nate Silver added,

      Nate SilverVerified account @NateSilver538
      One statistical issue that's crossed my mind: In counties like the US that have been hit hard by COVID, a significant portion of the *unvaccinated* population will have some degree of immunity from a previous infection. That could make vaccines seem superficially less effective.
      Show this thread
      7:24 PM - 4 Aug 2021
      • 25 Retweets
      • 124 Likes
      • dogsitter Stacey. firoozye نيكان Oh “Millenial irony“ Johnny SuZilla 🇹🇼 Dr Therry Christian Braudel C B Paul Marr
      856 replies 25 retweets 124 likes
        1. New conversation
        2. Daniel Steinberg‏ @DanielSingerS Aug 4
          Replying to @NateSilver538 @CT_Bergstrom

          Great minds think alike!

          1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
        3. Zachary Elwood™‏Verified account @apokerplayer Aug 5
          Replying to @DanielSingerS @NateSilver538 @CT_Bergstrom

          Even average minds. Sometimes the average ones think similar to the great ones, and the dumb ones. Mind similarities can be complicated......

          0 replies 0 retweets 2 likes
        4. End of conversation
        1. Outside Voice  📣‏ @_outsidevoice Aug 4
          Replying to @NateSilver538 @CT_Bergstrom

          Give it a rest, Nate. Not every idea is yours alone.

          0 replies 0 retweets 74 likes
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        1. javier  💚‏ @infrahumano Aug 4
          Replying to @NateSilver538 @CT_Bergstrom

          ?????????

          0 replies 0 retweets 2 likes
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        1. Gabriel‏ @Comrade_Gaab Aug 4
          Replying to @NateSilver538 @CT_Bergstrom

          Simmer down bud

          0 replies 0 retweets 3 likes
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        1. New conversation
        2. Steve Silver‏ @SteveTSRA Aug 4
          Replying to @NateSilver538 @CT_Bergstrom

          Having the same idea as someone isn't the same thing as stealing an idea from someone. I haven't accused you of stealing my last name.

          4 replies 5 retweets 611 likes
        3. silver - an element‏ @TheTelltale Aug 4
          Replying to @SteveTSRA @NateSilver538 @CT_Bergstrom

          It’s no prob because I’m glad it’s getting more visibility but you guys kind of stole your names from me, an element who has had this name for a really long time. Cool that silver is getting some likes, not cool that you didn’t quote-tweet me.

          3 replies 3 retweets 483 likes
        4. Show replies
        1. New conversation
        2. Jeffrey‏ @jeffreyjev Aug 4
          Replying to @NateSilver538

          pic.twitter.com/uHY3koUmqr

          1 reply 0 retweets 49 likes
        3. ADM‏ @adm_again Aug 4
          Replying to @jeffreyjev @CT_Bergstrom

          The perfect GIF for this situation. Ridiculous hubris by Nate here.

          0 replies 0 retweets 3 likes
        4. End of conversation
        1. This Tweet is unavailable.
        2. Arnold Mamesah‏ @arnold5508 Aug 4
          Replying to @econstatsnerd @NateSilver538 @CT_Bergstrom

          The last sentence about efficact and drop is scary as virus mutation keep going on

          1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
        3. Show replies

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