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NateSilver538's profile
Nate Silver
Nate Silver
Nate Silver
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@NateSilver538

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Nate SilverVerified account

@NateSilver538

Founder, EIC @FiveThirtyEight. Author, The Signal and the Noise (http://amzn.to/QdyFYV ). Sports/politics/food geek. Not a virologist.

New York
fivethirtyeight.com
Joined August 2008

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    Nate Silver‏Verified account @NateSilver538 Jan 5

    Prediction markets being quite a big more aggressive than the Needle. I trust the Needle more, of course. But note that they're directionally the same. The Needle (probably correctly) assumes more uncertainty. https://electionbettingodds.com/ pic.twitter.com/2ZbD8MWGIk

    5:15 PM - 5 Jan 2021
    • 334 Retweets
    • 2,444 Likes
    • Spxncxr RotoCoach Ben Zalin Constellation Yasemin Ersun-Hallsb philip j chang Gotta Get Thru This Gaurav Kalyan CalhounCountyDemocratsGOTV
    97 replies 334 retweets 2,444 likes
      1. This Tweet is unavailable.
      2. Charles Coryell‏ @coryell_charlie Jan 5
        Replying to @someknew @NateSilver538

        Look at Dave Wasserman’s tweets

        0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
      3. End of conversation
      1. This Tweet is unavailable.
      2. Bryan Leboff‏ @leboff Jan 5
        Replying to @KyleWalsh109 @NateSilver538

        Made a bunch because I could get PA for ~80c after it was already called 😂

        0 replies 0 retweets 5 likes
      3. End of conversation
      1. This Tweet is unavailable.
      2. Aidan‏ @AidanKohnMurphy Jan 5
        Replying to @neverrecycle @NateSilver538

        i like ur pfp

        1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
      3. End of conversation
      1. This Tweet is unavailable.
      2. kingofthesofas‏ @arthurkendrick Jan 5
        Replying to @ScottChalleen @NateSilver538

        I bought D clean sweep 2 weeks ago and I am going to make a killing if this holds

        5 replies 1 retweet 90 likes
      3. Show replies
      1. New conversation
      2. Andrew‏ @followingstaars Jan 5
        Replying to @NateSilver538

        On election night, markets had Trump at 78% at one point

        4 replies 0 retweets 25 likes
      3. josephcwhite‏ @josephcwhite Jan 5
        Replying to @followingstaars @NateSilver538

        Which is nuts because it was widely predicted that Biden would get a ton of early votes later since they couldn’t be counted ahead of time. It’s hard to believe people involved enough to bet on it wouldn’t be aware of that.

        1 reply 0 retweets 16 likes
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