Skip to content
By using Twitter’s services you agree to our Cookies Use. We and our partners operate globally and use cookies, including for analytics, personalisation, and ads.
  • Home Home Home, current page.
  • About

Saved searches

  • Remove
  • In this conversation
    Verified accountProtected Tweets @
Suggested users
  • Verified accountProtected Tweets @
  • Verified accountProtected Tweets @
  • Language: English
    • Bahasa Indonesia
    • Bahasa Melayu
    • Català
    • Čeština
    • Dansk
    • Deutsch
    • English UK
    • Español
    • Filipino
    • Français
    • Hrvatski
    • Italiano
    • Magyar
    • Nederlands
    • Norsk
    • Polski
    • Português
    • Română
    • Slovenčina
    • Suomi
    • Svenska
    • Tiếng Việt
    • Türkçe
    • Ελληνικά
    • Български език
    • Русский
    • Српски
    • Українська мова
    • עִבְרִית
    • العربية
    • فارسی
    • मराठी
    • हिन्दी
    • বাংলা
    • ગુજરાતી
    • தமிழ்
    • ಕನ್ನಡ
    • ภาษาไทย
    • 한국어
    • 日本語
    • 简体中文
    • 繁體中文
  • Have an account? Log in
    Have an account?
    · Forgot password?

    New to Twitter?
    Sign up
NateSilver538's profile
Nate Silver
Nate Silver
Nate Silver
Verified account
@NateSilver538

Tweets

Nate SilverVerified account

@NateSilver538

Founder, EIC @FiveThirtyEight. Author, The Signal and the Noise (http://amzn.to/QdyFYV ). Sports/politics/food geek. Not a virologist.

New York
fivethirtyeight.com
Joined August 2008

Tweets

  • © 2021 Twitter
  • About
  • Help Center
  • Terms
  • Privacy policy
  • Cookies
  • Ads info
Dismiss
Previous
Next

Go to a person's profile

Saved searches

  • Remove
  • In this conversation
    Verified accountProtected Tweets @
Suggested users
  • Verified accountProtected Tweets @
  • Verified accountProtected Tweets @

Promote this Tweet

Block

  • Tweet with a location

    You can add location information to your Tweets, such as your city or precise location, from the web and via third-party applications. You always have the option to delete your Tweet location history. Learn more

    Your lists

    Create a new list


    Under 100 characters, optional

    Privacy

    Copy link to Tweet

    Embed this Tweet

    Embed this Video

    Add this Tweet to your website by copying the code below. Learn more

    Add this video to your website by copying the code below. Learn more

    Hmm, there was a problem reaching the server.

    By embedding Twitter content in your website or app, you are agreeing to the Twitter Developer Agreement and Developer Policy.

    Preview

    Why you're seeing this ad

    Log in to Twitter

    · Forgot password?
    Don't have an account? Sign up »

    Sign up for Twitter

    Not on Twitter? Sign up, tune into the things you care about, and get updates as they happen.

    Sign up
    Have an account? Log in »

    Two-way (sending and receiving) short codes:

    Country Code For customers of
    United States 40404 (any)
    Canada 21212 (any)
    United Kingdom 86444 Vodafone, Orange, 3, O2
    Brazil 40404 Nextel, TIM
    Haiti 40404 Digicel, Voila
    Ireland 51210 Vodafone, O2
    India 53000 Bharti Airtel, Videocon, Reliance
    Indonesia 89887 AXIS, 3, Telkomsel, Indosat, XL Axiata
    Italy 4880804 Wind
    3424486444 Vodafone
    » See SMS short codes for other countries

    Confirmation

     

    Welcome home!

    This timeline is where you’ll spend most of your time, getting instant updates about what matters to you.

    Tweets not working for you?

    Hover over the profile pic and click the Following button to unfollow any account.

    Say a lot with a little

    When you see a Tweet you love, tap the heart — it lets the person who wrote it know you shared the love.

    Spread the word

    The fastest way to share someone else’s Tweet with your followers is with a Retweet. Tap the icon to send it instantly.

    Join the conversation

    Add your thoughts about any Tweet with a Reply. Find a topic you’re passionate about, and jump right in.

    Learn the latest

    Get instant insight into what people are talking about now.

    Get more of what you love

    Follow more accounts to get instant updates about topics you care about.

    Find what's happening

    See the latest conversations about any topic instantly.

    Never miss a Moment

    Catch up instantly on the best stories happening as they unfold.

    1. Nate Silver‏Verified account @NateSilver538 26 Oct 2020

      Nate Silver Retweeted (((Harry Enten)))

      On average, Biden has gained 0.5 points in post-debate polls (median field date of Friday or later) vs. the previous editions of those same polls. However, he's gained 1.5 points if you exclude Rasmussen's national poll and Insider Advantage's PA poll.https://twitter.com/ForecasterEnten/status/1320825749016817672 …

      Nate Silver added,

      (((Harry Enten)))Verified account @ForecasterEnten
      Some polling sponsored by groups that are conservative (or are Rasmussen) have this race tightening... But I really don't see it in any other piece of data that's out there.
      258 replies 459 retweets 4,093 likes
      Show this thread
      Nate Silver‏Verified account @NateSilver538 26 Oct 2020

      If the polls aren't tightening since the debate—and with 62 million people having voted—we're sort of getting to the point where the only way Trump can win is with a major polling error, bigger than in 2016 (or if the election is stolen somehow).

      2:41 PM - 26 Oct 2020
      • 920 Retweets
      • 5,121 Likes
      • zoeyrios777 NeoConTrarian Rhéal🇺🇸🇧🇷 🦋🇺🇸🇭🇳Awaken-HispanicAmerican Flowercita Love Anna banana m Ben Davidson Mg322 MJH Hilton Holloway
      3,213 replies 920 retweets 5,121 likes
        1. New conversation
        2. David Badash‏ @davidbadash 26 Oct 2020
          Replying to @NateSilver538

          "or if the election is stolen somehow..."

          4 replies 1 retweet 121 likes
        3. DemocracyNow‏ @PreservRepublic 26 Oct 2020
          Replying to @davidbadash @NateSilver538

          Yup. Brace yourself for some dumb new “investigation announcement” from Barr or Ratcliffe.

          6 replies 0 retweets 88 likes
        4. End of conversation
        1. New conversation
        2. William Cabral‏ @wcgravy 26 Oct 2020
          Replying to @NateSilver538

          That last line raised my blood pressure above the margin of error

          5 replies 2 retweets 200 likes
        3. CA Voter‏ @ga_voter 26 Oct 2020
          Replying to @wcgravy @NateSilver538

          Seriously: Nate don't give this year any ideas. Don't speak that evil into existance my man!

          1 reply 0 retweets 12 likes
        4. Show replies
        1. This Tweet is unavailable.
        2. Kevin Fox is hopeful  🦊 😷‏Verified account @kfury 26 Oct 2020
          Replying to @JBrownStanAcct @NateSilver538

          Tell that to Justice Gorsuch.

          2 replies 1 retweet 58 likes
        3. End of conversation
        1. New conversation
        2. Matthew Rein‏ @MatthewARein 26 Oct 2020
          Replying to @NateSilver538

          Lol major caveat at the end there, disturbing you even have to mention that :/

          3 replies 1 retweet 83 likes
        3. Show replies
        1. New conversation
        2. guy‏ @damrider11 26 Oct 2020
          Replying to @NateSilver538

          very casual appendix there nate

          1 reply 3 retweets 261 likes
        3. Show replies

      Loading seems to be taking a while.

      Twitter may be over capacity or experiencing a momentary hiccup. Try again or visit Twitter Status for more information.

        Promoted Tweet

        false

        • © 2021 Twitter
        • About
        • Help Center
        • Terms
        • Privacy policy
        • Cookies
        • Ads info