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Look which state just turned blue in the snake. https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2020-election-forecast/ …pic.twitter.com/sHnroFJKtS
By the slimmest possible margin, I might caution. Biden has a 51% chance of winning Georgia and Trump 49%, per our forecast. Our model's priors favor Trump in Georgia but there's been enough good polling for Biden there to counteract them. https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2020-election-forecast/georgia/ …pic.twitter.com/Fjc1buWHaK
Meanwhile, in the Georgia Senate special election, we have Loeffler (R) with a ~40% chance of winning after the runoff, Warnock (D) with a ~30% chance, and Collins (R) with a ~30% chance. Ossoff (D) with a ~30% chance of winning the regular Georgia seat.https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2020-election-forecast/senate/georgia-special/ …
Whoa, didn't see that Quinnipiac also polled the runoff and had Warnock well ahead of both Loeffler and Collins head to head. Entering in those runoff polls, our model now has the GA special as a toss-up.pic.twitter.com/zXL7CImi74
These multi-party primaries create some weird incentives but Collins and especially Loeffler have been running to their right in a way that risks making them unelectelable in the runoff.
Joergia is real.
Don't forget Joehio
Yee haw
Inject it in my artery
This will be fecking hilarious to look back at in November.
I agree. Cons are gonna be super triggered when Biden really does smack down their cult leader.
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