When people talk about "second waves" of COVID-19 within a country or a state, they need to look carefully at *where* within the country or state the cases are increasing. Often it's not the same places that were hit hard during the first wave.https://www.theguardian.com/world/2020/aug/19/italy-at-a-crossroads-as-fears-grow-of-covid-19-second-wave …
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This was also an issue in Louisiana, for example, where the "first wave" was largely concentrated in Orleans & Jefferson Parishes, and the "second wave" was largely concentrated *outside* of those parishes.https://twitter.com/Crimealytics/status/1287731448204623876?s=20 …
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The US is a particularly strong case of this, with the national aggregate numbers totally obscuring what's really going on in different regions.
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In July - August in Italy many many Italians go to the beach, emptying out the major cities. This could provide some explanation as well.
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Hopefully we’re in a position to redistribute equipment efficiently, if needed
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So that region in Italy is basically New Jersey's number. Let's be clear, the United States is averaging 45,000 cases A-day ... This is wave one... FOURTY FIVE THOUSAND
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There are 6x as many people in the United States as in Italy.
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Ding ding ding. The only way past is through. Have been saying it for two months. You want to sustain low case rates, it comes post surge.
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Yes, but 70% of new cases are people coming back from a holiday
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i think the harder you’re hit, the more respect is given for the need of various actions
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How does this map with Spain? It seems like Madrid was hit hard the first time and now experiencing a significant second wave...
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