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NateSilver538's profile
Nate Silver
Nate Silver
Nate Silver
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@NateSilver538

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Nate SilverVerified account

@NateSilver538

Founder, EIC @FiveThirtyEight. Author, The Signal and the Noise (http://amzn.to/QdyFYV ). Sports/politics/food geek. Not a virologist.

New York
fivethirtyeight.com
Joined August 2008

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    Nate Silver‏Verified account @NateSilver538 1 May 2020

    We sure as hell aren't building our own COVID-19 model. But we built an interactive so you can track other people's COVID-19 models.https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/covid-forecasts/ …

    6:46 AM - 1 May 2020
    • 117 Retweets
    • 492 Likes
    • Allen Sebastian - ಅಲೆನ್ ಸೆಬಾಸ್ಟಿಯನ್ MedicareForAll/AbortionCare gail shelton Nathan Goode Lauren Ellis Juan Vicente Hernández Aidan O’Hare Pauline in Space (((Over Koalified)))
    27 replies 117 retweets 492 likes
      1. This Tweet is unavailable.
      2. Laurence_Tien75‏ @LearnedLarry 1 May 2020
        Replying to @Osworld250 @NateSilver538

        Because the epidemiologists/"experts" have been so very accurate thus far? Which one has been correct at this point?

        0 replies 0 retweets 1 like
      3. End of conversation
      1. New conversation
      2. Christopher Burke  🇦🇺‏ @craznar 1 May 2020
        Replying to @NateSilver538

        And yet all the models still graph against the time X axis, a misleading way to determine outcomes.

        1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
      3. Jon‏ @jonsjournals 1 May 2020
        Replying to @craznar @NateSilver538

        huh?

        0 replies 0 retweets 1 like
      4. End of conversation
      1. Dock Ellis‏ @dockellis10 1 May 2020
        Replying to @NateSilver538

        Would also be very interesting to look at how model predictions were evolving vs. what happened on a particular day. Presumably/hopefully the discrepancies will show some improvement over time in predictive capabilities, unless model uncertainties still swamp the process.

        0 replies 0 retweets 1 like
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      1. Joe smith‏ @GiantsFanInDC 1 May 2020
        Replying to @NateSilver538

        What a rating for each and average of the models

        0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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      1. swiffy‏ @swiffydk 1 May 2020
        Replying to @NateSilver538

        On a quick first look, this seems very good. I really wish you would devote your time to this sort of effort rather than contrarian punditry and bad takes

        0 replies 0 retweets 3 likes
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      2. dcm‏ @debm133 1 May 2020

        Well it tells us that Deaths may be higher than these models suggest. Although May 23 might be too soon to reflect additional deaths from relaxing stay-home orders this week.

        0 replies 0 retweets 1 like
      3. End of conversation
      1. No Problem  ☀️‏ @venivici27 1 May 2020
        Replying to @NateSilver538

        Has anyone ever asked if these models have been peer reviewed? Especially Imperial? Many jumped on Santa Clara study not being PR, yet nothing on these bullshit models that are driving catastrophic policies and outcomes.

        0 replies 0 retweets 1 like
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