Because the epidemiologists/"experts" have been so very accurate thus far? Which one has been correct at this point?
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And yet all the models still graph against the time X axis, a misleading way to determine outcomes.
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huh?
End of conversation
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Would also be very interesting to look at how model predictions were evolving vs. what happened on a particular day. Presumably/hopefully the discrepancies will show some improvement over time in predictive capabilities, unless model uncertainties still swamp the process.
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What a rating for each and average of the models
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On a quick first look, this seems very good. I really wish you would devote your time to this sort of effort rather than contrarian punditry and bad takes
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Well it tells us that Deaths may be higher than these models suggest. Although May 23 might be too soon to reflect additional deaths from relaxing stay-home orders this week.
End of conversation
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Has anyone ever asked if these models have been peer reviewed? Especially Imperial? Many jumped on Santa Clara study not being PR, yet nothing on these bullshit models that are driving catastrophic policies and outcomes.
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