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NateSilver538's profile
Nate Silver
Nate Silver
Nate Silver
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@NateSilver538

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Nate SilverVerified account

@NateSilver538

Founder, EIC @FiveThirtyEight. Author, The Signal and the Noise (http://amzn.to/QdyFYV ). Sports/politics/food geek. Not a virologist.

New York
fivethirtyeight.com
Joined August 2008

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    Nate Silver‏Verified account @NateSilver538 25 Apr 2020

    Nate Silver Retweeted

    WHO needs to improve its communication on this. When they say “no evidence” they mean something like “no definitive proof, yet”. But the average person is going to read it as “there’s no immunity to coronavirus”, which is likely false and not a good summation of the evidence. https://twitter.com/WHO/status/1253995619921821698 …

    Nate Silver added,

    This Tweet is unavailable.
    12:20 PM - 25 Apr 2020
    • 1,107 Retweets
    • 4,747 Likes
    • Hetal Mayweather boy from a small town Linda A. H. Prell Linda Ibadan Jobs Jason Arthur Sarah Donachy Jose M. V
    358 replies 1,107 retweets 4,747 likes
      1. New conversation
      2. Nate Silver‏Verified account @NateSilver538 25 Apr 2020

        The consensus of the evidence, as best as I can tell, is that there’s very likely to be some degree of immunity, although we don’t know how absolute it is and for how long it confers and there's still a lot to be learned about it.https://www.nytimes.com/2020/04/13/opinion/coronavirus-immunity.html …

        38 replies 152 retweets 842 likes
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      3. Nate Silver‏Verified account @NateSilver538 25 Apr 2020

        WHO has fucked this up on other issues too, such as masks. Definitive proof is hard to come by in the early stages of a new disease. So you have to work through priors, probabilities, incomplete evidence.https://www.theguardian.com/world/2020/apr/07/face-masks-cannot-stop-healthy-people-getting-covid-19-says-who …

        58 replies 93 retweets 717 likes
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      4. End of conversation
      1. New conversation
      2. puck‏ @puck_doesnt 25 Apr 2020
        Replying to @NateSilver538

        To be fair it's probably being translated from Mandarin

        2 replies 0 retweets 49 likes
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      2. Sledder‏ @Yukoner3 25 Apr 2020
        Replying to @ElizabethCano23 @NateSilver538

        I get that they're trying to discourage people who have antibody tests or have had the disease from ignoring social distancing protocol but yes there is a flip side.

        1 reply 0 retweets 5 likes
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      1. New conversation
      2. Carrie Maser‏ @carriegm 25 Apr 2020
        Replying to @NateSilver538

        Thank you Nate. This headline leads to hopelessness.

        1 reply 0 retweets 6 likes
      3.  😈the grievous angel 😈‏ @bizarrojoey 25 Apr 2020
        Replying to @carriegm @NateSilver538

        Better than misguided and reckless optimism

        0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
      4. End of conversation
      1. New conversation
      2. Evie CG‏ @cg_evie 25 Apr 2020
        Replying to @NateSilver538

        That’s exactly how I interpreted it. It scared the hell out of me. Why write a headline so frightening

        2 replies 0 retweets 5 likes
      3. Show replies

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