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NateSilver538's profile
Nate Silver
Nate Silver
Nate Silver
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@NateSilver538

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Nate SilverVerified account

@NateSilver538

Founder, EIC @FiveThirtyEight. Author, The Signal and the Noise (http://amzn.to/QdyFYV ). Sports/politics/food geek. Not a virologist.

New York
fivethirtyeight.com
Joined August 2008

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    Nate Silver‏Verified account @NateSilver538 4 Mar 2020

    Can the momentum in the Democratic race shift again? Well, yes, obviously!! But: 1) Biden's delegate lead may be nontrivial depending on where we end up in CA 2) In the short term, Biden will probably *gain* further ground in polls as a result of last night

    2:53 PM - 4 Mar 2020
    • 151 Retweets
    • 1,638 Likes
    • Fiona Strasser The Big Heft 9:29 🦋 Xavier Fuson zarsi Luis Aristoy Lance Lund David Olson John "Black Jack" Logan
    33 replies 151 retweets 1,638 likes
      1. Nate Silver‏Verified account @NateSilver538 4 Mar 2020

        3) Also, while I want to look at this in more detail, at first glance it seems like the remaining big-delegate states are not great for Sanders. Or put another way, CA and TX were the best big-delegate states for Bernie and now they're done voting.

        57 replies 105 retweets 973 likes
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      1. Pickle Rick!‏ @ProgressPickle 4 Mar 2020
        Replying to @NateSilver538

        *trivial

        0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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      1. Justin‏ @js_silver 4 Mar 2020
        Replying to @NateSilver538

        Will the forecast update and potential for more “pick the results” to see how the rest of March plays out?

        0 replies 0 retweets 4 likes
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      1. New conversation
      2. Marla Hooch‏ @MarlaHooch1 4 Mar 2020
        Replying to @NateSilver538

        It’s a 9 point ballgame in CA with 54% in, early vote obviously worse for Biden. This primary is over. The only question now is how long will it take BS & The Bros™️ to accept it.

        11 replies 5 retweets 117 likes
      3. rob‏ @robcordero 4 Mar 2020
        Replying to @MarlaHooch1 @NateSilver538

        *Sanders is a few dozen delegates short with several primaries and debates left* Smooth brain: tHe pRiMaRy iS oVer

        16 replies 0 retweets 81 likes
      4. Show replies
      1. Breaking Braavos‏ @BreakingBraavos 4 Mar 2020
        Replying to @NateSilver538

        time to release the general election forecast

        0 replies 0 retweets 4 likes
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      2. Pithy Quips‏ @PithyQuips 4 Mar 2020
        Replying to @brent858 @NateSilver538

        Michigan and Ohio. So basically, if he's made no headway by the end of March, we are stuck with Senile Joe.

        1 reply 0 retweets 2 likes
      3. Show replies
      1. New conversation
      2. Lane Watson‏ @outputrotation 4 Mar 2020
        Replying to @NateSilver538

        who does warren hurt or help if she drops out?

        3 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
      3. Clarissa Sorenson‏ @clarissas42 4 Mar 2020
        Replying to @outputrotation @NateSilver538

        At this point, probably a wash

        1 reply 0 retweets 7 likes
      4. End of conversation

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