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NateSilver538's profile
Nate Silver
Nate Silver
Nate Silver
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@NateSilver538

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Nate SilverVerified account

@NateSilver538

Founder, EIC @FiveThirtyEight. Author, The Signal and the Noise (http://amzn.to/QdyFYV ). Sports/politics/food geek. Not a virologist.

New York
fivethirtyeight.com
Joined August 2008

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    Nate Silver‏Verified account @NateSilver538 10 Nov 2019

    Good (if unsurprising) reporting here that Bloomberg's announcement may just have been a trial balloon, but the phase "particularly if Joe Biden stays in" is kind of nutso. He's leading in almost every national poll and has for months! https://www.axios.com/mike-bloomberg-polling-2020-primary-974ea30b-0923-4e6b-8748-4fcde1ecbffa.html …pic.twitter.com/3agyx1fS3a

    8:38 AM - 10 Nov 2019
    • 143 Retweets
    • 660 Likes
    • PhillyDem🌐🇺🇸🇮🇱🇱🇧 Ulfgar Ironhand Brian Blank Becca Lower imagining sisyphus sad Zima Whiteclaw Liz McB Conor Duffy 🌐 Humean Being
    71 replies 143 retweets 660 likes
      1. New conversation
      2. Nate Silver‏Verified account @NateSilver538 10 Nov 2019

        I know the Sanders folks talk about "Bernie erasure" but it seems like there's at least as much Biden erasure. We're at the point where the blind spot that NYC/DC conventional wisdom has for Biden is as bad as the one it had for Trump in the GOP primaries four year ago.

        273 replies 116 retweets 608 likes
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      3. Nate Silver‏Verified account @NateSilver538 10 Nov 2019

        You'd think, if anything, the lesson "don't be dismissive of a candidate who maintains a polling lead for months with a working-class coalition despite constant predictions of his demise from Acela corridor elites" would have been *overlearned*. But, nope, same shit as last time.

        76 replies 165 retweets 1,009 likes
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      4. End of conversation
      1. I, Robert‏ @BlueCheese911 10 Nov 2019
        Replying to @NateSilver538

        You and your silly science-based observations.

        0 replies 0 retweets 3 likes
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      1. New conversation
      2. Jonathan Pierce‏ @jonathanmpierce 10 Nov 2019
        Replying to @NateSilver538

        This is true: Michael Bennet said this week that he thought Biden would finish fourth in Iowa and “be done”.pic.twitter.com/Xtsbucn2LY

        3 replies 0 retweets 1 like
      3. Elman Steven‏ @E_Steven 10 Nov 2019
        Replying to @jonathanmpierce @NateSilver538

        Thus paving the way for Michael Bennet!

        1 reply 0 retweets 4 likes
      4. End of conversation
      1. Karthik‏ @blandphilosophy 10 Nov 2019
        Replying to @NateSilver538

        I assume that statement has less to do with his polling and more to do with him looking old and confused a lot of the time

        1 reply 0 retweets 9 likes
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      1. davidrlurie‏Verified account @davidrlurie 10 Nov 2019
        Replying to @NateSilver538

        Bloomberg's rationale is grounded on Biden's purported weakness, while the reality is all about Biden's striking resilliance.

        1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
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      1. Smelodies‏ @SmelOdiesOG 10 Nov 2019
        Replying to @NateSilver538

        Perhaps they’re anticipating a major medical event?

        1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
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      1. New conversation
      2. Douglas 'Skoryy' Hayden‏ @SpyralPegacyon 10 Nov 2019
        Replying to @NateSilver538

        Pushing the 'Biden is toast' narrative now so they can whip out the 'Biden the Comeback Kid' narrative if/when he survives Iowa and New Hampshire.

        2 replies 0 retweets 9 likes
      3. Dave McBride‏ @jetfand 10 Nov 2019
        Replying to @SpyralPegacyon @NateSilver538

        No one expects Biden to win in NH. Sanders is on home field there. Not a valid sample for his viability

        3 replies 0 retweets 6 likes
      4. Show replies

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