p.s. As my friend @ForecasterEnten points out, in special elections this year and last year, **2012** results were more predictive than 2016 ones. The same is true in polls of Congressional races this year.
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Remember everything you've heard about Democrats' suburban surge? It's wrong. OK maybe not wrong. It's partly right! But polling tells a more complicated story. Dems are performing just as well in rural Obama-Trump districts as urban Clinton-Romney ones.https://53eig.ht/2SgbPm5
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Another underrated fact is how well Democratic incumbents are doing in *states* that shifted from Obama to Trump. The Midwestern D senators in OH, WI, PA and MI are all poised to win re-election, probably easily. That suggests a mean-reverting election more than a realigning one.
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Specials were right on this one...
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Does that mean under performing in urban or over performing in rural. Please answer. Also, do races tend to freeze or crystallize once early voting starts.
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I wish more people realized not everything is black and white
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Is it so difficult for you to speak English and tell us what you're talking about instead of us having to decifer it?
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It was clear to me
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Nothing impresses a suburban mom more than this.https://twitter.com/tedcruz/status/1049320464051363841 …
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I think having Orange on the campaign trail will back fire hard on the GOP. There is a reason you think highly of your ex when they are gone. Orange polls rise in low news cycle when he cant be seen or heard. I don't believe the polls btw, least not in 2016, stolen election
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