doesn't this assume non-correlation between house and senate results?
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No it doesn't, if it did the chance of blue senate red house would be noticeable rather than much less than 1%
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Well if there's one thing we know (a la Trump) is that the seemingly impossible is possible...
#RememberInNovember and let's take both chambers... we need to return to Congress as a "check" on the Presidency. Clearly, it's not happening today in any meaningful way.Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo
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Very weird that Dems' chance of winning the Senate and the House and their chance of just winning the House have both fallen, but their chance of winning either the Senate or the House has risen.
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Their chance of winning just the House has risen...
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I know you are a numbers guy but the fate of our democracy is at stake here, can you stop being so dispassionate especially because the GOP wants to take your rights away as a gay man
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Why should he jeopardise his career and reputation to please you? And why do you think you have a right to tell gay men how to act because of their sexuality?
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for the sake of shits and giggles, what are the chances that the Rs keep the House but the Ds take the Senate
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If you multiply R's 1-in-5 House chances with D's 1-in-5 senate chances, you get 1 in 25
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So -- if either 1 or 3 happens, it will be fair when people say that your prediction was wrong?
#mostpeopledontunderstandprobabilitiesatallThanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo
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