Number of HRs hit by 2015 league leader over 49.5. What's the fair price? It's happened 2 of last 5 and 5 of last 10 years.
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Replying to @EdMillerPoker
@EdMillerPoker Something like -135 seems right to me, but I haven't worked on this question specifically.1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes -
Replying to @NateMeyvis
@NateMeyvis@EdMillerPoker Can you guys explain how to use an odds number like this.1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes -
Replying to @Brandlor
@Brandlor@NateMeyvis Minus means favorite plus means dog. Minus means you lay that to win 100. Plus means you bet 100 to win that.2 replies 0 retweets 0 likes -
Replying to @EdMillerPoker
@EdMillerPoker@Brandlor Was thinking about the "no" side. I meant +135.1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes -
Replying to @NateMeyvis
@NateMeyvis@EdMillerPoker I think I would take the under at 135. Who even has a chance??1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes -
Replying to @ChipChairman
@nddst@NateMeyvis I would definitely take under at -135. Last two came out of nowhere tho: Bautista and Davis2 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
@EdMillerPoker @nddst My stats intuitions are not great. Some very very rough reasoning about stdevs etc there.
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