Someone should write about how often the baseball blogosphere disagrees with the markets, and what that says about "saber society."
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Replying to @NateMeyvis
@NateMeyvis what do you think it says? FWIW: 1. I’m in business of selling forecasts different from market 2. Perez has looked v. good to me5 replies 0 retweets 0 likes -
Replying to @amber34owl
@amber34owl (4/3) I don't doubt you beat markets, but PECOTA showing a one-game (major sport) market's odds to be ~23% wrong would be wild.1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes -
Replying to @NateMeyvis
@NateMeyvis PECOTA odds in particular worry me bc they fluctuate wildly day-to-day even in July. Analytically, that’s extremely hard to buy1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
Replying to @amber34owl
@amber34owl Yes. And I remember thinking that their Playoff Odds have been pretty crazy, at least in past years.
5:11 PM - 30 Sep 2013
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