PECOTA: Rays are roughly 2-1 favorites in Game 163. Markets: it's almost exactly even money. What gives? @baseballpro @cwyers
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Replying to @NateMeyvis
@NateMeyvis@baseballpro PECOTA really dislikes Martin Perez, but not much more than any projection system out there I've seen.1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes -
Replying to @cwyers
@cwyers@baseballpro Thanks for answering! Do you think every (non-human) projection system is wrong, or are the betting humans?2 replies 0 retweets 0 likes -
Replying to @NateMeyvis
@NateMeyvis@baseballpro If there's lots of new bettors out there, that could be shifting the line, making it "worse" than the ordinary line1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes -
Replying to @cwyers
@cwyers@baseballpro What do you personally think TB's winning chances are?1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes -
Replying to @NateMeyvis
@NateMeyvis@baseballpro Pretty much where PECOTA numbers are -- I don't see anything about Perez this year that convinces me PECOTA's wrong1 reply 1 retweet 0 likes
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