PECOTA: Rays are roughly 2-1 favorites in Game 163. Markets: it's almost exactly even money. What gives? @baseballpro @cwyers
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@NateMeyvis@baseballpro PECOTA really dislikes Martin Perez, but not much more than any projection system out there I've seen.
@cwyers @baseballpro Thanks for answering! Do you think every (non-human) projection system is wrong, or are the betting humans?
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@NateMeyvis@baseballpro I'd be interested to know how much of the money on this game is regular gamblers, versus casual interest. -
@cwyers@baseballpro I don't think weeknight baseball games draw big casual betting, 163 or not--but I'm curious about that too.
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@NateMeyvis@baseballpro If there's lots of new bettors out there, that could be shifting the line, making it "worse" than the ordinary line -
@cwyers@baseballpro What do you personally think TB's winning chances are? - Show replies
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