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NateMeyvis's profile
Nate Meyvis
Nate Meyvis
Nate Meyvis
@NateMeyvis

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Nate Meyvis

@NateMeyvis

Independent writer / programmer / Guy Who Makes Things Happen With Software. Xoogler. I tweet about software engineering, books, sports, games, and gambling.

Melrose, MA
natemeyvis.com
Joined April 2009

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    1. Nate Meyvis‏ @NateMeyvis 22 Feb 2013

      Since 1950, the MSE of Pythagorean wins (exp: 1.83) has been 15.85. So if PECOTA & my math are accurate, DET has a ~2.2% chance at 100 W.

      2 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
    2. Sean‏ @sean_ahmed 22 Feb 2013
      Replying to @NateMeyvis

      @NateMeyvis basically three standard deviations away? well, you're not accounting for standard deviation of luck being around 6 wins

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
    3. Nate Meyvis‏ @NateMeyvis 22 Feb 2013
      Replying to @sean_ahmed

      @sean_ahmed Only two standard deviations (8 W) to the good!

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
    4. Sean‏ @sean_ahmed 22 Feb 2013
      Replying to @NateMeyvis

      @NateMeyvis oh, of course … one-sided

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
      Nate Meyvis‏ @NateMeyvis 22 Feb 2013
      Replying to @sean_ahmed

      @sean_ahmed Also, I'm tempted to say that Leyland will make it harder for DET to outperform Pythagorean expectation.

      6:05 PM - 22 Feb 2013
      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
        1. Sean‏ @sean_ahmed 22 Feb 2013
          Replying to @NateMeyvis

          @NateMeyvis I'd say how the bullpen shakes out could affect it more than anything else

          0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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