Pro Tip: If you can name all 541 Members of Congress (humblebrag?), dont pen analysis where you get inside head of the avg voter. You cant.
@MattGlassman312 Well-informed people often predict the thoughts of their epistemic inferiors (in a domain) well. Why is politics different?
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@NateMeyvis Good point. I stand by claim. Maybe b/c very noisy relation b/t indiv vtr choice and intent. We predict *former* well. (1/2)Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo
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@NateMeyvis More important, well informed DC/wonks/writers are not the epistemic superiors of voters. Maybe campaign ops are --- but not me. -
@MattGlassman312 Interesting. FWIW I largely agree--just asking what seemed to be the obv question.
End of conversation
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