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Our latest- a deep dive into Iraq and Lebanon's tortuous paths to reform.https://www.clingendael.org/publication/iraq-and-lebanons-tortuous-paths-reform …
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Nancy Ezzeddine Retweeted
We talk far too little about the fact that the Middle East is going through its worst drought in 900 years.https://twitter.com/Reuters/status/1449827784025591808 …
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Nancy Ezzeddine Retweeted
(1) في هذا المقال ملاحظاتي بنقاط عن ابرز دروس الانتخابات الأخيرة: 1- لعل الصدمة الأبرز في الانتخابات كانت في محدودية تأثير المرجعية الدينية على مجرى هذه العملية.فانتخابات 2021 كانت الأولى التي لم تشهد تأثيرا واضحا وحاسما لنداء السيستاني في المشاركة بعدما كان لصوتهاhttps://twitter.com/BayanCenter/status/1448686419275354114 …
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Nancy Ezzeddine Retweeted
Yes, and the real question - for both Fatah and Hakim-Abadi - is why they didn't have the sense to read the election law & reach the conclusion that in a district system having multiple candidates with similar platforms was self-destructive.
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Nancy Ezzeddine Retweeted
هذه التغريدة اعتراف شبه واضح من نائب قواتي بالتورط في مجزرة اليوم ضد المتظاهرين. مجرم ضد وطنه من يظن ان بامكانه حماية العدالة بالقتل.https://twitter.com/drFadiKaram/status/1448618155706834946 …
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The amount of fake news I’ve come across on Twitter today is demeaning. The danger isn’t only on the streets but also encompassed in the irresponsible commentary and reporting. This only leads to further escalation and promotion of hate speech between the Lebanese. https://twitter.com/ThomasVLinge/status/1448614838494810114 …
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Nancy Ezzeddine Retweeted
6 martyrs more than 60 injured in the targeted sniper gunfire in Beirut Tayouneh against civilians.
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@IHECOfficial uploaded two different versions of the results in last 48 hours before removing them again. Data on some of the spreadsheets don't add up (for example total number of voters/district or # of seats). Not clear if technical errors, manipulation of data, or combinationpic.twitter.com/5wcByFz38l
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Votes from 12,228 stations are yet to be confirmed by
@IHECOfficial. This could mean that up to ~20% of total votes are being (re)counted with the number of ballots differing between stations & boxes. https://twitter.com/IHECOfficial/status/1448208159462641666 …This Tweet is unavailable.Show this threadThanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo -
* Protest and marj'aiya groups could refrain from supporting any of the coalitions created by the traditional political parties * Swing votes to look out for include independents (20), Azm (20), and PUK (17)
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Negotiations over government formation already underway. A few scenarios: *Sadr, KDP, & Halbousi win total of 148 seats together & can tip the balance *Fateh (& other Shia groups) will attempt to challenge the legitimacy of results. Sadr can decide to escalate or absorb tensions
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(1)
@Mu_AlSadr w/ more seats than all other Shia blocs combined; (2)@AlHaLboosii 's Takadum registers the largest increase from 2018 with 38 new seats; (3) Fateh loses 28 seats and wins 4 Christian seats; (4) KDP almost double PUK seats; (5) 20 independents and 10 ImtidadShow this threadThanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo -
#Iraq election results are yet to be confirmed by@IHECOfficial but a few immediate takeaways in
pic.twitter.com/e1B2rg0TVU
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Nancy Ezzeddine Retweeted
So my rough tally for seats: Sadrists 73 Taqadum 38 State of Law 37 KDP 32 Independents 30 Azm 15 PUK/Gorran 15 Fateh 14 New Generation 11 Imtidad 10 Tasmim 7 Ishraqat Kanoon 6 Babilyun 5 Nasr/Hikma 4 KIU 4 Huquq 1 KJG 1 Total 303 (26 left to account for)
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6 seats for Ishraqat Kanon believed to be associated with the Shia marja'iya: Diwanyah (1) Baghdad (1) Babil (2) Karbala (2)
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Too soon to confirm, but it seems
#Halbousi's Takadum party is the second-largest with a total of 38 seats until this hour. Several independents will switch affiliation soon - difficult to predict which bloc will gain most from this.https://twitter.com/NancyEzzeddine/status/1447599938469351430 …Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo -
Kurdish parties with a total of: KDP (32) PUK (15) New Generation (9) Islamic Union (4) Kurdish Justice (1)
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State of law follows with 36: Baghdad (14) Basra (2) Dhi Qar (4) Babel (3) Wasit (2) Najaf (2) Karbala (2) Diwaniyah (2) Muthana (3) Maysan (2)
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This far,
#Sadr wins the largest parliamentary bloc with a total of 73 seats: Baghdad (28) Basra (9) Dhi Qar (8) Babel (2) Amarah (7) Wasit (5) Najaf (5) Karbala (4) Diwaniyah (3) Samawah (2)Show this threadThanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo -
Nancy Ezzeddine Retweeted
Also“Ishraqat kanon”, They are mainly supported by the Hawza in Najaf. First they separated their military wings from the PMF,forming the Atabat Forces,and now they have their own independent political wing, which won two seats in Karbala,second step to disengage ties from Iran.https://twitter.com/PatrickOsgood/status/1447546178074288137 …
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