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  1. Pinned Tweet
    22 Dec 2020

    Our latest- a deep dive into Iraq and Lebanon's tortuous paths to reform.

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  2. Retweeted
    Oct 18

    We talk far too little about the fact that the Middle East is going through its worst drought in 900 years.

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  3. Retweeted

    (1) في هذا المقال ملاحظاتي بنقاط عن ابرز دروس الانتخابات الأخيرة: 1- لعل الصدمة الأبرز في الانتخابات كانت في محدودية تأثير المرجعية الدينية على مجرى هذه العملية.فانتخابات 2021 كانت الأولى التي لم تشهد تأثيرا واضحا وحاسما لنداء السيستاني في المشاركة بعدما كان لصوتها

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  4. Retweeted
    Oct 15
    Replying to

    Yes, and the real question - for both Fatah and Hakim-Abadi - is why they didn't have the sense to read the election law & reach the conclusion that in a district system having multiple candidates with similar platforms was self-destructive.

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  5. Retweeted
    Oct 14

    هذه التغريدة اعتراف شبه واضح من نائب قواتي بالتورط في مجزرة اليوم ضد المتظاهرين. مجرم ضد وطنه من يظن ان بامكانه حماية العدالة بالقتل.

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  6. Oct 14

    The amount of fake news I’ve come across on Twitter today is demeaning. The danger isn’t only on the streets but also encompassed in the irresponsible commentary and reporting. This only leads to further escalation and promotion of hate speech between the Lebanese.

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  7. Retweeted

    6 martyrs more than 60 injured in the targeted sniper gunfire in Beirut Tayouneh against civilians.

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  8. Oct 13
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  9. Oct 13

    uploaded two different versions of the results in last 48 hours before removing them again. Data on some of the spreadsheets don't add up (for example total number of voters/district or # of seats). Not clear if technical errors, manipulation of data, or combination

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  10. Oct 13

    Votes from 12,228 stations are yet to be confirmed by . This could mean that up to ~20% of total votes are being (re)counted with the number of ballots differing between stations & boxes.

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  11. Oct 12

    * Protest and marj'aiya groups could refrain from supporting any of the coalitions created by the traditional political parties * Swing votes to look out for include independents (20), Azm (20), and PUK (17)

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  12. Oct 12

    Negotiations over government formation already underway. A few scenarios: *Sadr, KDP, & Halbousi win total of 148 seats together & can tip the balance *Fateh (& other Shia groups) will attempt to challenge the legitimacy of results. Sadr can decide to escalate or absorb tensions

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  13. Oct 12

    (1) w/ more seats than all other Shia blocs combined; (2) 's Takadum registers the largest increase from 2018 with 38 new seats; (3) Fateh loses 28 seats and wins 4 Christian seats; (4) KDP almost double PUK seats; (5) 20 independents and 10 Imtidad

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  14. Oct 12

    election results are yet to be confirmed by but a few immediate takeaways in🧵

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  15. Retweeted
    Oct 11

    So my rough tally for seats: Sadrists 73 Taqadum 38 State of Law 37 KDP 32 Independents 30 Azm 15 PUK/Gorran 15 Fateh 14 New Generation 11 Imtidad 10 Tasmim 7 Ishraqat Kanoon 6 Babilyun 5 Nasr/Hikma 4 KIU 4 Huquq 1 KJG 1 Total 303 (26 left to account for)

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  16. Oct 11

    6 seats for Ishraqat Kanon believed to be associated with the Shia marja'iya: Diwanyah (1) Baghdad (1) Babil (2) Karbala (2)

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  17. Oct 11

    Too soon to confirm, but it seems 's Takadum party is the second-largest with a total of 38 seats until this hour. Several independents will switch affiliation soon - difficult to predict which bloc will gain most from this.

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  18. Oct 11

    Kurdish parties with a total of: KDP (32) PUK (15) New Generation (9) Islamic Union (4) Kurdish Justice (1)

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  19. Oct 11

    State of law follows with 36: Baghdad (14) Basra (2) Dhi Qar (4) Babel (3) Wasit (2) Najaf (2) Karbala (2) Diwaniyah (2) Muthana (3) Maysan (2)

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  20. Oct 11

    This far, wins the largest parliamentary bloc with a total of 73 seats: Baghdad (28) Basra (9) Dhi Qar (8) Babel (2) Amarah (7) Wasit (5) Najaf (5) Karbala (4) Diwaniyah (3) Samawah (2)

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  21. Retweeted
    Oct 11

    Also“Ishraqat kanon”, They are mainly supported by the Hawza in Najaf. First they separated their military wings from the PMF,forming the Atabat Forces,and now they have their own independent political wing, which won two seats in Karbala,second step to disengage ties from Iran.

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