I rather enjoyed this article by Scott Alexander, and I think the world probably needs to do some thinking about expertise. It is a capability set; it is not a priesthood.https://slatestarcodex.com/2020/04/14/a-failure-but-not-of-prediction/ …
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Replying to @patio11
There’s also something about the basic epistemic posture... do you believe that you can (and must) form your own judgement or do you think that coupling to credentialed others is the best you can do?
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Replying to @patrickc
I kind of look at it as the epistemic posture control panel, where you have a lot of different levers to dial in for individual tasks/fields/etc and sufficient metacognition to reset levers based on new evidence. I have many less levers pegged at "Defer" than I did on January 1.
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"He knew the strengths and weaknesses of experts." -- R. V. Jones, describing Winston Churchill. That's such a high and rare ability that the first time I read that sentence I had little idea what it even meant.
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