"Democrats can't win the midterms by opposing Trump." -People who watched Republicans win the last two midterms by opposing Obama.
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It’s possible there’s a fundamental difference between what motivates the Democrat and Republican bases, how each party can win over independents, etc. But the “don’t run against Trump” crowd doesn’t make that argument. Just asserts it as if it’s obviously true.
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A common error is to say Democrats can’t win midterms by running against Trump because Hillary ran against Trump and lost. But midterms aren’t presidential elections. And it’s harder to run against what someone might do as POTUS than against what a serving POTUS has done.
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Midterms almost always come down to a referendum on the president, with the out party enjoying a motivation advantage. As
@matthewjdowd points out, Dems’ last midterm victory came when they ran against Bush in 2006.https://twitter.com/matthewjdowd/status/997471802707316736?s=21 …Show this thread -
Sure Democrats, say what you’re for. If you have policy ideas, tell voters. But don’t uncritically accept the ahistoric conventional wisdom that running against the president hurts your chances. Especially when the president’s unpopular nationally and despised by your base. (END)
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End of conversation
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Not enough room for the other 51 "Repeal Obamacares." #280
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There is ample evidence that D and R constituencies value different things, differently. D voters prefer policy gains (wins) over criticisms/hating/symbolic rhetoric. So, running against isn't as effective (see Hillary's ad strategy against Trump and her regrets)
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