Can someone please explain to me how the Dem victories in 2017 and 2018 -- many in pro-Trump areas -- square with this diagnosis?https://twitter.com/sykescharlie/status/995697453096677377 …
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Replying to @ThePlumLineGS
I think they show that this is winnable. But they are still quite capable of blowing it.
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Replying to @SykesCharlie
Of course, but where is the evidence that this would be the reason they blew it?
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Replying to @ThePlumLineGS @SykesCharlie
I encounter such anecdotal evidence talking to people here in Ohio who voted for both Obama and Trump all the time.
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Replying to @jadler1969 @SykesCharlie
If there is such a backlash, and that has political significance, why are Dems winning so many races deep in Trump country as well as in swing areas? I'm looking for a real answer to this Q. It's weird that the "liberal backlash" theorists don't feel any obligation to offer one.
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What electoral evidence was there, in May 2010, that the voters would swing back to Obama in 2012? Or May 1994? Not a perfect parallel, but a lot can happen even if there's a D wave this fall.
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The voters didn't "swing back to Obama in 2012." A bunch of Obama voters skipped the midterms. Turnout: 2008: 62.2% 2010: 41.8% 2012: 58.6% Might help answer "liberal backlash" question. Some Trump voters may be unmotivated without Trump on the ballot, but will show up in 2020.
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Replying to @NGrossman81 @baseballcrank and
Trump hit an inside straight to nail down PA, MI, WI, FL. What are the odds that he does that again?
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