It just gave Israel a bit of political coverage - but not really. I would argue that Trump's threatening to pull out of Syria in April had more to do with speeding this inevitability up than did yesterday's US pullout of nuke deal.
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That's probably a factor in the overall calculus. But the marked difference in today's events is Iranian forces firing into Israel. It's possible the Iranians didn't want to give Trump an excuse, but don't have to worry about that now.
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Contextualize Iran's firing into Israel in terms of Israel's repeated strikes in the last week (albeit, I'd argue, justified), The question is what now? Israel targets ALL of Iranian bases (?) in Syria and prays Syria, Russia & Hezbollah don't respond?
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Not sure, but it looks like it's headed that way.
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I'm kind of thinking it will quiet down now for awhile. Like they let some air out of the bottle. Russia doesn't want to lose its foothold in Syria. If they start to see, after last night, Israel ain't gonna go quietly- they may get Iran to settle down.
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Perhaps. But Iran's not going to leave Syria, and Israel's not going to be okay with Iran establishing positions in Syria. The underlying conditions for conflict remain.
End of conversation
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Uh huh. And who initiated it?
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As with so many exchanges of fire in this area of the world, everyone says it was someone else's fault, and if you pick a point in time you can blame whoever you want. Then go back an hour/day/week and you can blame someone else.
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But by that reasoning, no one is ever responsible for anything anywhere. Someone shot first there this week.
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Nah. Sometimes it's easy to identify a single cause or who initiated a sequence of events. In this case, if you put all the blame on someone, I can give you a rational explanation of why the other side started it.
End of conversation
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Israel sends rockets into Syria with some regularity, but when Iran fires back, it gets attention.
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Those get attention too. You could easily write "Iran ships weapons to Hezbollah and builds bases near Israel to prepare for a future conflict, but when Israel responds it gets attention."
End of conversation
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