This is a lot of intelligence to burn absent a concrete and achievable policy objective, don't you think?
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That's my guess.
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Though not entirely clear that is in immediate Israeli interest. Conflicting views on the subject w/in Israeli circles.
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I'd argue it's not in immediate Israeli interest. And some of the Israeli military and intelligence communities agree (though others disagree--my sense is it's a pretty close split). But Netanyahu government appears to strongly favor US leaving JCPOA and increasing confrontation.
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I favor increased confrontation, too, if it leads to an actual verification regime. The alternative to the JCPOA isn't kinetic conflict. It's a spectrum of options.
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How? Not a facetious question. I've studied this closely, written about it a lot, and read a large variety of analysis, and I don't see where the leverage to get Iran to agree to that comes from.
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A lot of that leverage was sacrificed in the JCPOA, but not all of it. And the threat of force is the chief inducement.
End of conversation
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