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NGrossman81's profile
Nicholas Grossman
Nicholas Grossman
Nicholas Grossman
@NGrossman81

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Nicholas Grossman

@NGrossman81

International Relations prof at U. Illinois. Senior Editor @ArcDigi. Author “Drones and Terrorism.” Politics, national security, and occasional nerdery.

amazon.com/Drones-Terrori…
Joined April 2015

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    Nicholas Grossman‏ @NGrossman81 Mar 22

    Bolton replacing McMaster is clearest sign yet US is going to bomb Iran. Reports Kushner is beholden to Saudi Crown Prince is another. When I laid out the prediction just 4 days ago neither had happened. Attack looks even more likely now. Still a bad idea.https://arcdigital.media/donald-trump-is-going-to-bomb-iran-5f29632fb25d …

    3:56 PM - 22 Mar 2018 from Urbana, IL
    • 111 Retweets
    • 88 Likes
    • James Slate 🇺🇸🦅 J-Tin ✊😔 Wayne Brideaux The Shoe WTFWJD? Alex Per-boo 👻🎃 rebecca milliken 𝚋𝚛𝚎𝚗𝚝 Sham Blanchard
    8 replies 111 retweets 88 likes
      1. New conversation
      2. Nicholas Grossman‏ @NGrossman81 Mar 22

        John Bolton, on the Iran nuclear deal, July 3, 2017: "Let’s be clear: Even if somebody were to say to you that the regime is in full compliance with the nuclear deal, it doesn’t make any difference."

        1 reply 15 retweets 20 likes
        Show this thread
      3. Nicholas Grossman‏ @NGrossman81 Mar 22

        Bolton's also one of the very few people who still argues the Iraq war was a success. Not the right decision at the time based on what we knew then. Not well-intentioned but poorly executed, leading to insufficiently anticipated problems. But an unmitigated success.

        2 replies 16 retweets 22 likes
        Show this thread
      4. Nicholas Grossman‏ @NGrossman81 Mar 22

        I'm more hawkish than many. And I argue the US should work to counter Iran. But Bolton argues for unilateral, preemptive force and doesn't sufficiently consider potential downsides. As I lay out in the article, the smart strategy against Iran is containment.

        1 reply 8 retweets 15 likes
        Show this thread
      5. Nicholas Grossman‏ @NGrossman81 Mar 22

        I've admired McMaster my whole career (as do most who study and/or engage in counterinsurgency). He's had a tough line to walk in the White House, and didn't always handle it perfectly. But he was a big upgrade over Michael Flynn. Replacing him with Bolton is an immense downgrade

        1 reply 24 retweets 61 likes
        Show this thread
      6. Nicholas Grossman‏ @NGrossman81 Mar 22

        Even worse, I can't shake the feeling that a major reason Bolton's getting this immensely power position is the president's seen him on television.

        5 replies 12 retweets 48 likes
        Show this thread
      7. Nicholas Grossman‏ @NGrossman81 Mar 22

        I usually like being right. (Who doesn’t?—especially among professors and commentators). But I really hope I’m wrong about this one. (END)

        3 replies 0 retweets 20 likes
        Show this thread
      8. End of conversation
      1. Geoffrey Cramer‏ @gcramer30 Mar 22
        Replying to @NGrossman81

        Ready made bases in iraq and afghanistan flanking iran and access to the area via kuwait, saudi arabia and former holdings of russia like kyrgistan. This actually makes perfect sense.

        0 replies 1 retweet 1 like
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      1. CivilMomHasTwistyPearlsNoBeer‏ @Civilmom Mar 22
        Replying to @NGrossman81

        God help us all.

        0 replies 0 retweets 2 likes
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      1. Kat Tron‏ @KatTrono Mar 22
        Replying to @NGrossman81 @gailbriggs8

        Noooo!!!

        0 replies 0 retweets 1 like
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      1. The Bigotbasher‏ @thebigotbasher Mar 22
        Replying to @NGrossman81 @mobilematt

        Iran, North Korea, or even both.https://www.wsj.com/articles/the-legal-case-for-striking-north-korea-first-1519862374?redirect=amp#click=https://t.co/2R0QEw17JA …

        0 replies 0 retweets 1 like
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      1. New conversation
      2. Maximilien Guerrero‏ @Praetorian27 Mar 23
        Replying to @NGrossman81

        US has not won a meaningful conflict since WW2! Iran will target Gulf states, US naval assets in the Gulf, and military bases in Kuwait. Potentially 10ks of US soldiers could die. Oil goes $150/bbl, markets crash and global depression ensues. Everyone knows this!

        1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
      3. Maximilien Guerrero‏ @Praetorian27 Mar 23
        Replying to @Praetorian27 @NGrossman81

        Imagine the Burj Khalifa falling, Abu Dhabi oil fields on fire, Kuwait city in ruins, Riyadh being bombarded by missiles, or the Straits of Hormuz turned into a shooting gallery. Would American democracy survive?

        0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
      4. End of conversation
      1. Stephanie rappaport‏ @shadow1058 Mar 23
        Replying to @NGrossman81

        Remember bomb Iran, bomb bomb Iran😳😡😬

        0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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      1. Adam antolec‏ @adamant80 Mar 22
        Replying to @NGrossman81

        pic.twitter.com/nGLbly7ho0

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