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NGrossman81's profile
Nicholas Grossman
Nicholas Grossman
Nicholas Grossman
@NGrossman81

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Nicholas Grossman

@NGrossman81

International Relations prof at U. Illinois. Senior Editor @ArcDigi. Author “Drones and Terrorism.” Politics, national security, and occasional nerdery.

amazon.com/Drones-Terrori…
Joined April 2015

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    1. Nicholas Grossman‏ @NGrossman81 Mar 8

      TO EVERYONE ARGUING TRUMP SHOULDN'T TALK TO NORTH KOREA: If getting Kim to the table isn't the point of sanctions, and war's a bad idea, what's the strategy? No one capitulates. Ever. But sometimes in talks they give something to get something. If there's no good deal, walk away.

      32 replies 24 retweets 62 likes
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    2. Nicholas Grossman‏ @NGrossman81 Mar 8

      Evidently, I'm on a bit of an island here, with most saying Trump meeting with Kim is a bad idea. I think talking is a good idea. Here's why: 2/x

      5 replies 0 retweets 5 likes
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    3. Nicholas Grossman‏ @NGrossman81 Mar 8

      Some conservative commentators I respect (@RadioFreeTom @NoahCRothman et al) argue Trump meeting Kim is a bad idea because it rewards North Korea for bad behavior, gives Kim the legitimacy he craves, and the US didn't get enough preconditions to justify meeting. 3/x

      5 replies 0 retweets 5 likes
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    4. Nicholas Grossman‏ @NGrossman81 Mar 8

      However... 1) North Korea agreed to suspend missile and nuclear testing while talks go on. Considering they conducted one hydrogen-boosted nuclear weapon test and 16 ballistic missile tests in 2017--all of which US condemned--a testing freeze is a concession in advance. 4/x

      2 replies 1 retweet 3 likes
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    5. Nicholas Grossman‏ @NGrossman81 Mar 8

      2) Yes, Kim wants the prestige of meeting directly with a US president but what does he actually gain? Some propaganda videos for domestic consumption? Sure, but his power's already absolute. International acceptance? Hardly. Not unless there's a breakthrough deal. 5/x

      4 replies 2 retweets 1 like
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    6. Nicholas Grossman‏ @NGrossman81 Mar 8

      The other big criticism, mostly from the left, is that Trump's bound to screw it up. Maybe Kim'll flatter him and he'll give away the store. Can't totally rule that out. But Trump's POTUS. We can't put foreign policy on hold for 3 years. Not with NK's capabilities advancing. 6/x

      4 replies 1 retweet 5 likes
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    7. Nicholas Grossman‏ @NGrossman81 Mar 8

      Yes, previous agreements with North Korea haven't led to success. But holding negotiations doesn't mean one has to accept any deal. If nothing good is on the table, walk away. 7/x

      1 reply 1 retweet 4 likes
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    8. Nicholas Grossman‏ @NGrossman81 Mar 8

      Refusing to talk declares in advance that no deal is possible. Then what's the strategy? War? Incredibly costly. Sanctions until North Korea capitulates? No chance. 8/x

      3 replies 1 retweet 3 likes
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    9. Helen Noble‏ @BoobPunchTina Mar 8
      Replying to @NGrossman81

      Letting South Korea and China handle it has been going pretty darned well.

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
      Nicholas Grossman‏ @NGrossman81 Mar 8
      Replying to @BoobPunchTina

      Sarcasm? If not, how?

      6:34 PM - 8 Mar 2018 from Urbana, IL
      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
        1. Helen Noble‏ @BoobPunchTina Mar 8
          Replying to @NGrossman81

          Nobody has been bombed yet. And North Korea isn’t interfering with our elections yet either, as far as I know. That could all change. It is a grave mistake to assume that Donald Trump won’t find ways to make things worse. That’s his entire life history.

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