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NGrossman81's profile
Nicholas Grossman
Nicholas Grossman
Nicholas Grossman
@NGrossman81

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Nicholas Grossman

@NGrossman81

International Relations prof at U. Illinois. Senior Editor @ArcDigi. Author “Drones and Terrorism.” Politics, national security, and occasional nerdery.

amazon.com/Drones-Terrori…
Joined April 2015

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    1. Nicholas Grossman‏ @NGrossman81 Jan 26

      Just in case you thought Syria was over: US ally Turkey fighting US-backed Kurdish YPG, who played a central role in taking Raqqa from ISIS. Prediction: US lets it go, leaving the Kurds out to dry. Open question: What Syrian gov. does about this region.http://www.bbc.com/news/world-middle-east-42831296 …

      5 replies 27 retweets 21 likes
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    2. Nicholas Grossman‏ @NGrossman81 Jan 26

      Avoiding confrontation won't be easy. Turkey's president vowed to attack Manbij, where US troops are stationed. Based on Turkey's interests and capabilities, the threat is credible. YPG linked to PKK, the Kurdish group in Turkey designated as terrorists by Turkey, US and others.

      1 reply 5 retweets 3 likes
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    3. Nicholas Grossman‏ @NGrossman81 Jan 26

      As you can see from the map, Syrian Kurds control a large swath of northeast Syria. Turkey considers that a threat. That area was controlled by ISIS, but with American support, local forces (predominantly, but not all Kurdish) took it back About 2,000 US troops are stations therepic.twitter.com/zigP5egPeL

      2 replies 4 retweets 4 likes
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    4. Richard Burger‏ @HealthCareHuck Jan 26
      Replying to @NGrossman81

      I think Trump will try to keep Kurds away from Assad. I see escalation. But I could be wrong, there's high uncertainty.https://www.juancole.com/2018/01/trump-syrian-turkey.html …

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
      Nicholas Grossman‏ @NGrossman81 Jan 26
      Replying to @HealthCareHuck

      The problem with that is the Syrian military is exhausted from nearly 7 years of civil war. And Turkey was more powerful to begin with. For the Syrian military to be a threat to the Turkish military, they'd need Russian help. And I haven't seen any indication Russia's willing.

      11:19 AM - 26 Jan 2018 from Illinois, USA
      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
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        2. Richard Burger‏ @HealthCareHuck Jan 26
          Replying to @NGrossman81

          All good points. Hmmm.... Russian priority #1 is U.S. out of Syria. Russia might prefer to work with Syria & Kurds rather than allow U.S. as protector. Kurds have been playing Russia-U.S. agin each other all along. My cloudy crystal ball: Kurds prefers U.S. help.

          1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
        3. Richard Burger‏ @HealthCareHuck Jan 26
          Replying to @HealthCareHuck @NGrossman81

          Dr. Landis is The Man on Syria. I can't quite get past fact he is married to Alawite woman, how can he not be biased? But he is often right.http://www.joshualandis.com/blog/a-sustainable-united-states-policy-for-north-syria-the-kurds-turkey-and-the-syrian-government-by-landis-and-barber/ …

          0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
        4. End of conversation

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