Kushner accidentally distilled the fundamental error underlying the Trump admin's misguided foreign policy. "I'm a businessman, and I don't care about the past." But international relations ≠ business. Business is transactional. Foreign policy is about building relationships.
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Absolutely. The
#President is going to need a coalition if he intends to to militarily engage#NorthKorea. -
Militarily, economically, diplomatically. It's easier to get cooperation on North Korea because most countries' interests align (at least somewhat). Much harder when they diverge. On Iran, for example.
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Russia and China do not want regime change in North Korea. It risks a possible unified Korea, under a capitalist government. In order for a successful military engagement with the North, it requires China and Russia working with the US, or stepping aside.
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No. But neither want war or nuclear proliferation either.
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True. Do you think that Russia or China is willing to accept regime change? Or if a war breaks out, will the US and it's coalition be willing to withdraw to DMZ border, allowing for temporary Chinese control of the North?
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Both are very wary of downside risks, especially China. But, as always, it depends on what happens. China strongly opposes US military-imposed reunification of the Korean peninsula, and can raise the cost enough that, if war broke out, the US would probably wouldn't force it.
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I agree that the US wouldn't push for reunification. I could see a retreat to the DMZ lines and China having de facto control of the North until a stable regime is put in place. Another possibility is that China invades the North to prevent American/South Korean occupation
End of conversation
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