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NGrossman81's profile
Nicholas Grossman
Nicholas Grossman
Nicholas Grossman
@NGrossman81

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Nicholas Grossman

@NGrossman81

International Relations prof at U. Illinois. Senior Editor @ArcDigi. Author “Drones and Terrorism.” Politics, national security, and occasional nerdery.

amazon.com/Drones-Terrori…
Joined April 2015

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    1. Nicholas Grossman‏ @NGrossman81 28 Dec 2017

      Nicholas Grossman Retweeted Brendan Nyhan

      Seconded. Trump-Russia is its own thing. But compared to past scandals, Iran-Contra's a better fit than Watergate. Trump has years of experience with shady dealings. No matter what the campaign did, he's likely insulated from it. And, ultimately, it's up to Congress.https://twitter.com/BrendanNyhan/status/945858970119421952 …

      Nicholas Grossman added,

      Brendan NyhanVerified account @BrendanNyhan
      Periodic reminder: there is still too much hype about Mueller and likelihood he has strong criminal evidence against Trump personally. Iran-Contra remains closest analogue in my view.
      Show this thread
      3 replies 17 retweets 23 likes
      Show this thread
    2. Nicholas Grossman‏ @NGrossman81 28 Dec 2017

      From what we know, the obstruction case looks pretty good, and the corruption case looks strong. Both of those are arguably impeachable offenses, but that only matters if Congress deems it so. Even with Democratic sweep in 2018, Republicans will have more than 1/3 of the Senate.

      2 replies 7 retweets 7 likes
      Show this thread
    3. Nicholas Grossman‏ @NGrossman81 28 Dec 2017

      But "the cover-up is worse than the crime" is a cliche for a reason. If anything like the wildest Trump-Russia conspiracy theories were true, we'd probably know more by know, especially considering how much this admin leaks.

      3 replies 4 retweets 7 likes
      Show this thread
    4. Nicholas Grossman‏ @NGrossman81 28 Dec 2017

      More could come out, but probably gray evidence like Iran-Contra rather than black-and-white like Watergate. Trump, pro-Trump media, and the Americans who believe them (or benefit from them) will proclaim his innocence. That's who Congressional Republicans care about most.

      1 reply 2 retweets 3 likes
      Show this thread
    5. Nicholas Grossman‏ @NGrossman81 28 Dec 2017

      A Constitutional crisis is still a serious possibility. Indictment for Kushner appears likely. Don Jr. maybe as well. If Trump tries to protect them, and Congress doesn't stop him, the president and his family are effectively above the law.https://arcdigital.media/americas-on-a-collision-course-with-a-constitutional-crisis-7b732a35c6fc …

      6 replies 12 retweets 12 likes
      Show this thread
    6. H.G. Flores‏ @ElCapitahn 28 Dec 2017
      Replying to @NGrossman81

      Out of the scenarios you presented, I believe scenario 2, Mass Pardons, is the most likely to occur. As you pointed out, #Trump himself might not get prosecuted but more members of his team will. If the #GOP allows this to happen, they will set the precedent for future #Democrats

      1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
      Nicholas Grossman‏ @NGrossman81 28 Dec 2017
      Replying to @ElCapitahn

      The precedent for future presidencies is concerning, but at this point I'm more concerned with the implications for this presidency. If Trump places his family above the law, and Congress doesn't do anything about it, what can't he do?

      6:52 AM - 28 Dec 2017 from New York, USA
      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
        1. H.G. Flores‏ @ElCapitahn 28 Dec 2017
          Replying to @NGrossman81

          At this point, he's been accepted by the #GOP, has #loyalist support from his base, an ineffective #Democrat opposition party, and an inner circle willing to carry out whatever he asks and peddle whatever his "truth" is. If unopposed mass pardons happen, he's an American King

          0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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