Seconded. Trump-Russia is its own thing. But compared to past scandals, Iran-Contra's a better fit than Watergate. Trump has years of experience with shady dealings. No matter what the campaign did, he's likely insulated from it. And, ultimately, it's up to Congress.https://twitter.com/BrendanNyhan/status/945858970119421952 …
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Alternatively, if Mueller tries to bring charges against Trump--say, for pre-presidential money laundering--that'll spark a different type of Constitutional crisis. Can a sitting president be indicted? Different lawyers give different answers. It's never really been tested.
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Trump-Russia hasn't peaked yet. The country will be tested. But, based on what we know now, it looks like neither those claiming blatant collusion nor those claiming unsubstantiated witch hunt will be proven correct. And that's more like Iran-Contra than Watergate. (END)
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Out of the scenarios you presented, I believe scenario 2, Mass Pardons, is the most likely to occur. As you pointed out,
#Trump himself might not get prosecuted but more members of his team will. If the#GOP allows this to happen, they will set the precedent for future#Democrats -
The precedent for future presidencies is concerning, but at this point I'm more concerned with the implications for this presidency. If Trump places his family above the law, and Congress doesn't do anything about it, what can't he do?
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IMO Obstruction will be secondary to his Financial dealings, Collusion/Conspiracy meh
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Where's the constitutional crisis? That's a political disaster, sure, but where's the constitutional conflict? What branches are in opposition?
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He bribed R’s in Congress with promise of enriching each and they’ve been bought.
Forget R’s.
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